Current forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF positions 20°C as the most probable daily maximum in Helsinki on August 18, aligning with the market's 63.5% implied probability on that outcome. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 19–20°C as solar insolation declines and Baltic Sea moderation strengthens. Recent model runs indicate stable high pressure with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting slight warming above seasonal norms without exceeding 21–22°C. No significant warm advection or radiative cooling signals appear in the latest guidance, keeping 19–21°C outcomes dominant amid a narrow ensemble spread. Traders' weighting reflects this consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature feedbacks ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 18?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 18?
20°C 65%
19°C 19%
21°C 18%
18°C 2%
BARU
$12,583 Vol.
BARU
$12,583 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
19%
20°C
65%
21°C
18%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 65%
19°C 19%
21°C 18%
18°C 2%
BARU
$12,583 Vol.
BARU
$12,583 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
$128 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$761 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$951 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$780 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,575 Vol.
19%
20°C
$3,148 Vol.
65%
21°C
$2,046 Vol.
18%
22°C
$1,658 Vol.
2%
23°C
$629 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$651 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF positions 20°C as the most probable daily maximum in Helsinki on August 18, aligning with the market's 63.5% implied probability on that outcome. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 19–20°C as solar insolation declines and Baltic Sea moderation strengthens. Recent model runs indicate stable high pressure with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting slight warming above seasonal norms without exceeding 21–22°C. No significant warm advection or radiative cooling signals appear in the latest guidance, keeping 19–21°C outcomes dominant amid a narrow ensemble spread. Traders' weighting reflects this consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature feedbacks ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$12,583Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF positions 20°C as the most probable daily maximum in Helsinki on August 18, aligning with the market's 63.5% implied probability on that outcome. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 19–20°C as solar insolation declines and Baltic Sea moderation strengthens. Recent model runs indicate stable high pressure with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting slight warming above seasonal norms without exceeding 21–22°C. No significant warm advection or radiative cooling signals appear in the latest guidance, keeping 19–21°C outcomes dominant amid a narrow ensemble spread. Traders' weighting reflects this consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature feedbacks ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,583Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF positions 20°C as the most probable daily maximum in Helsinki on August 18, aligning with the market's 63.5% implied probability on that outcome. Late-August climatology shows average highs near 19–20°C as solar insolation declines and Baltic Sea moderation strengthens. Recent model runs indicate stable high pressure with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting slight warming above seasonal norms without exceeding 21–22°C. No significant warm advection or radiative cooling signals appear in the latest guidance, keeping 19–21°C outcomes dominant amid a narrow ensemble spread. Traders' weighting reflects this consensus while acknowledging residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperature feedbacks ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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