Recent National Weather Service model runs and observational data from Denver International Airport indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over the Front Range, with afternoon highs expected in the upper 70s. This positions the 78–79 °F bin as the market leader at 38.5 % implied probability, followed by 76–77 °F at 25 %. Steep lapse rates and limited moisture advection have suppressed daytime heating relative to early-August climatology near 88–90 °F, while light northerly flow further caps temperatures. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any shifts in the 500 mb pattern that could allow slight warming into the low 80s before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on August 4?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 4?
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 18%
74-75°F 11%
BARU
$23,079 Vol.
BARU
$23,079 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
39%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 39%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 18%
74-75°F 11%
BARU
$23,079 Vol.
BARU
$23,079 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
71°F or below
$2,063 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$2,773 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$1,708 Vol.
11%
76-77°F
$1,509 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$4,462 Vol.
39%
80-81°F
$5,481 Vol.
18%
82-83°F
$1,461 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$1,844 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$933 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$360 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$485 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and observational data from Denver International Airport indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over the Front Range, with afternoon highs expected in the upper 70s. This positions the 78–79 °F bin as the market leader at 38.5 % implied probability, followed by 76–77 °F at 25 %. Steep lapse rates and limited moisture advection have suppressed daytime heating relative to early-August climatology near 88–90 °F, while light northerly flow further caps temperatures. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any shifts in the 500 mb pattern that could allow slight warming into the low 80s before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$23,079Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and observational data from Denver International Airport indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over the Front Range, with afternoon highs expected in the upper 70s. This positions the 78–79 °F bin as the market leader at 38.5 % implied probability, followed by 76–77 °F at 25 %. Steep lapse rates and limited moisture advection have suppressed daytime heating relative to early-August climatology near 88–90 °F, while light northerly flow further caps temperatures. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any shifts in the 500 mb pattern that could allow slight warming into the low 80s before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,079Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model runs and observational data from Denver International Airport indicate a moderating high-pressure ridge over the Front Range, with afternoon highs expected in the upper 70s. This positions the 78–79 °F bin as the market leader at 38.5 % implied probability, followed by 76–77 °F at 25 %. Steep lapse rates and limited moisture advection have suppressed daytime heating relative to early-August climatology near 88–90 °F, while light northerly flow further caps temperatures. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any shifts in the 500 mb pattern that could allow slight warming into the low 80s before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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