Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF, combined with post-Santa Rosa front stabilization, positions 19–20 °C as the most likely daily maximum for Buenos Aires on August 31. Light easterly flow, building high pressure, and partial cloud cover are limiting strong diurnal heating while preventing sharp cooling, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the late-August climatological normal of 16–18 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside risk above 21 °C or downside below 18 °C given the current steering pattern and absence of significant advection changes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 31?
20°C 44%
19°C 33%
21°C 13%
18°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
33%
20°C
44%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 44%
19°C 33%
21°C 13%
18°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
7%
19°C
33%
20°C
44%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the GFS and ECMWF, combined with post-Santa Rosa front stabilization, positions 19–20 °C as the most likely daily maximum for Buenos Aires on August 31. Light easterly flow, building high pressure, and partial cloud cover are limiting strong diurnal heating while preventing sharp cooling, keeping temperatures near or slightly above the late-August climatological normal of 16–18 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside risk above 21 °C or downside below 18 °C given the current steering pattern and absence of significant advection changes before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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