Traders see no dominant leader in text-to-video AI as of mid-September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field where ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0, Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash, and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 trade top spots on arenas for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, motion choreography, and 4K output. Recent launches including Meta’s Movie Gen and incremental updates from Alibaba’s Wan series and Runway’s Gen-4.5 reinforce competitive parity, while OpenAI’s Sora 2 deprecation removes one prior contender. Key swing factors through November include new benchmark releases, model capability jumps in physics consistency or real-time generation, and any major partnerships or regulatory shifts affecting deployment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाGoogle 27%
SpaceXAI 26%
Pruna 26%
MiniMax 26%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
27%
SpaceXAI
26%
Pruna
26%
MiniMax
26%
Lightricks
26%
Pika
26%
Genmo AI
25%
मेटा
14%
कांडिन्स्की
14%
टेनसेंट
14%
ब्लैक फॉरेस्ट लैब्स
14%
बाइटडांस
14%
OpenAI
14%
Pixverse
14%
रनवे
14%
KlingAI
14%
अलीबाबा / अलीबाबा-ATH
13%
लूमा एआई
13%
Google 27%
SpaceXAI 26%
Pruna 26%
MiniMax 26%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
SpaceXAI
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
Pruna
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
MiniMax
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
Lightricks
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
Pika
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
Genmo AI
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
मेटा
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
कांडिन्स्की
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
टेनसेंट
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
ब्लैक फॉरेस्ट लैब्स
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
बाइटडांस
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
OpenAI
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
Pixverse
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
रनवे
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
KlingAI
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
अलीबाबा / अलीबाबा-ATH
$0 वॉल्यूम
13%
लूमा एआई
$0 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see no dominant leader in text-to-video AI as of mid-September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field where ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0, Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash, and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 trade top spots on arenas for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, motion choreography, and 4K output. Recent launches including Meta’s Movie Gen and incremental updates from Alibaba’s Wan series and Runway’s Gen-4.5 reinforce competitive parity, while OpenAI’s Sora 2 deprecation removes one prior contender. Key swing factors through November include new benchmark releases, model capability jumps in physics consistency or real-time generation, and any major partnerships or regulatory shifts affecting deployment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
1 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see no dominant leader in text-to-video AI as of mid-September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field where ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0, Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash, and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 trade top spots on arenas for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, motion choreography, and 4K output. Recent launches including Meta’s Movie Gen and incremental updates from Alibaba’s Wan series and Runway’s Gen-4.5 reinforce competitive parity, while OpenAI’s Sora 2 deprecation removes one prior contender. Key swing factors through November include new benchmark releases, model capability jumps in physics consistency or real-time generation, and any major partnerships or regulatory shifts affecting deployment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
1 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Traders see no dominant leader in text-to-video AI as of mid-September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting a fragmented field where ByteDance’s Seedance 2.0, Google’s Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash, and Kuaishou’s Kling 3.0 trade top spots on arenas for prompt adherence, native audio synchronization, motion choreography, and 4K output. Recent launches including Meta’s Movie Gen and incremental updates from Alibaba’s Wan series and Runway’s Gen-4.5 reinforce competitive parity, while OpenAI’s Sora 2 deprecation removes one prior contender. Key swing factors through November include new benchmark releases, model capability jumps in physics consistency or real-time generation, and any major partnerships or regulatory shifts affecting deployment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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