The closely matched implied probabilities across numerous AI labs reflect intense competition in math-focused large language model evaluations on Text Arena, where small benchmark edges can shift quickly. Anthropic's recent Claude variants lead current math category scores around 1520+, driven by strong performance on reasoning tasks, while OpenAI's GPT-5 series, Google's Gemini models, and Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM), Alibaba (Qwen), Moonshot (Kimi), and DeepSeek deliver comparable results on benchmarks like AIME and MATH-500. Key differentiators include specialized reasoning capabilities, training scale, and cost efficiency, with open-weight options gaining traction. Upcoming model updates or new capability demonstrations before November's end remain the main swing factors in this uncertain environment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSpaceXAI 35%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट 33%
Z.ai 29%
OpenAI 20%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
SpaceXAI
35%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
33%
Z.ai
29%
OpenAI
20%
गूगल
19%
Xiaomi
19%
DeepSeek
19%
अलीबाबा
19%
थिंकी
18%
Meituan
16%
बाइडू
14%
Moonshot
14%
StepFun
14%
मेटा
12%
Nvidia
18%
Tencent
8%
MiniMax
7%
बाइटडांस
30%
मिस्त्राल
6%
Anthropic
3%
अमेज़न
3%
SpaceXAI 35%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट 33%
Z.ai 29%
OpenAI 20%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
SpaceXAI
$34 वॉल्यूम
35%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$34 वॉल्यूम
33%
Z.ai
$34 वॉल्यूम
29%
OpenAI
$34 वॉल्यूम
20%
गूगल
$34 वॉल्यूम
19%
Xiaomi
$34 वॉल्यूम
19%
DeepSeek
$34 वॉल्यूम
19%
अलीबाबा
$34 वॉल्यूम
19%
थिंकी
$34 वॉल्यूम
18%
Meituan
$34 वॉल्यूम
16%
बाइडू
$34 वॉल्यूम
14%
Moonshot
$34 वॉल्यूम
14%
StepFun
$34 वॉल्यूम
14%
मेटा
$34 वॉल्यूम
12%
Nvidia
$47 वॉल्यूम
18%
Tencent
$21 वॉल्यूम
8%
MiniMax
$34 वॉल्यूम
7%
बाइटडांस
$35 वॉल्यूम
30%
मिस्त्राल
$66 वॉल्यूम
6%
Anthropic
$21 वॉल्यूम
3%
अमेज़न
$50 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched implied probabilities across numerous AI labs reflect intense competition in math-focused large language model evaluations on Text Arena, where small benchmark edges can shift quickly. Anthropic's recent Claude variants lead current math category scores around 1520+, driven by strong performance on reasoning tasks, while OpenAI's GPT-5 series, Google's Gemini models, and Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM), Alibaba (Qwen), Moonshot (Kimi), and DeepSeek deliver comparable results on benchmarks like AIME and MATH-500. Key differentiators include specialized reasoning capabilities, training scale, and cost efficiency, with open-weight options gaining traction. Upcoming model updates or new capability demonstrations before November's end remain the main swing factors in this uncertain environment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$743समाप्ति तिथि
1 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched implied probabilities across numerous AI labs reflect intense competition in math-focused large language model evaluations on Text Arena, where small benchmark edges can shift quickly. Anthropic's recent Claude variants lead current math category scores around 1520+, driven by strong performance on reasoning tasks, while OpenAI's GPT-5 series, Google's Gemini models, and Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM), Alibaba (Qwen), Moonshot (Kimi), and DeepSeek deliver comparable results on benchmarks like AIME and MATH-500. Key differentiators include specialized reasoning capabilities, training scale, and cost efficiency, with open-weight options gaining traction. Upcoming model updates or new capability demonstrations before November's end remain the main swing factors in this uncertain environment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$743समाप्ति तिथि
1 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched implied probabilities across numerous AI labs reflect intense competition in math-focused large language model evaluations on Text Arena, where small benchmark edges can shift quickly. Anthropic's recent Claude variants lead current math category scores around 1520+, driven by strong performance on reasoning tasks, while OpenAI's GPT-5 series, Google's Gemini models, and Chinese labs including Z.ai (GLM), Alibaba (Qwen), Moonshot (Kimi), and DeepSeek deliver comparable results on benchmarks like AIME and MATH-500. Key differentiators include specialized reasoning capabilities, training scale, and cost efficiency, with open-weight options gaining traction. Upcoming model updates or new capability demonstrations before November's end remain the main swing factors in this uncertain environment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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