Trader sentiment shows tight competition for the top AI model by end of November, with SpaceXAI at 26% implied probability edging out Meituan, Meta, and DeepSeek near 23-25%. This reflects ongoing advances in large language model capabilities, including improved reasoning benchmarks and multimodal features, amid rapid releases from multiple labs. No company has pulled ahead decisively due to similar training scales, data advantages, and engineering progress across Chinese and U.S. developers. Key swing factors include potential new model drops, efficiency gains, or third-party evaluations that could alter rankings before resolution. The spread underscores how quickly capability gaps can close in the current AI landscape.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाSpaceXAI 27%
Xiaomi 19%
Nvidia 18%
एंथ्रोपिक 15%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
SpaceXAI
27%
Xiaomi
19%
Nvidia
18%
एंथ्रोपिक
15%
Meta
15%
मिनीमैक्स
15%
Thinky
15%
Meituan
15%
मिस्त्राल
15%
ओपनएआई
14%
StepFun
14%
अलीबाबा
14%
टेनसेंट
14%
13%
Z.ai
13%
अमेज़न
13%
DeepSeek
13%
बाइटडांस
13%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
13%
मूनशॉट
7%
Baidu
12%
SpaceXAI 27%
Xiaomi 19%
Nvidia 18%
एंथ्रोपिक 15%
नया
नया
30 नव, 2026
SpaceXAI
$37 वॉल्यूम
27%
Xiaomi
$37 वॉल्यूम
19%
Nvidia
$37 वॉल्यूम
18%
एंथ्रोपिक
$37 वॉल्यूम
15%
Meta
$37 वॉल्यूम
15%
मिनीमैक्स
$37 वॉल्यूम
15%
Thinky
$37 वॉल्यूम
15%
Meituan
$37 वॉल्यूम
15%
मिस्त्राल
$37 वॉल्यूम
15%
ओपनएआई
$37 वॉल्यूम
14%
StepFun
$37 वॉल्यूम
14%
अलीबाबा
$37 वॉल्यूम
14%
टेनसेंट
$37 वॉल्यूम
14%
$37 वॉल्यूम
13%
Z.ai
$37 वॉल्यूम
13%
अमेज़न
$37 वॉल्यूम
13%
DeepSeek
$37 वॉल्यूम
13%
बाइटडांस
$37 वॉल्यूम
13%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$65 वॉल्यूम
13%
मूनशॉट
$37 वॉल्यूम
7%
Baidu
$37 वॉल्यूम
12%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment shows tight competition for the top AI model by end of November, with SpaceXAI at 26% implied probability edging out Meituan, Meta, and DeepSeek near 23-25%. This reflects ongoing advances in large language model capabilities, including improved reasoning benchmarks and multimodal features, amid rapid releases from multiple labs. No company has pulled ahead decisively due to similar training scales, data advantages, and engineering progress across Chinese and U.S. developers. Key swing factors include potential new model drops, efficiency gains, or third-party evaluations that could alter rankings before resolution. The spread underscores how quickly capability gaps can close in the current AI landscape.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$799समाप्ति तिथि
1 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment shows tight competition for the top AI model by end of November, with SpaceXAI at 26% implied probability edging out Meituan, Meta, and DeepSeek near 23-25%. This reflects ongoing advances in large language model capabilities, including improved reasoning benchmarks and multimodal features, amid rapid releases from multiple labs. No company has pulled ahead decisively due to similar training scales, data advantages, and engineering progress across Chinese and U.S. developers. Key swing factors include potential new model drops, efficiency gains, or third-party evaluations that could alter rankings before resolution. The spread underscores how quickly capability gaps can close in the current AI landscape.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$799समाप्ति तिथि
1 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment shows tight competition for the top AI model by end of November, with SpaceXAI at 26% implied probability edging out Meituan, Meta, and DeepSeek near 23-25%. This reflects ongoing advances in large language model capabilities, including improved reasoning benchmarks and multimodal features, amid rapid releases from multiple labs. No company has pulled ahead decisively due to similar training scales, data advantages, and engineering progress across Chinese and U.S. developers. Key swing factors include potential new model drops, efficiency gains, or third-party evaluations that could alter rankings before resolution. The spread underscores how quickly capability gaps can close in the current AI landscape.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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