Anthropic’s accelerated Opus release cadence, with Claude Opus 5 shipping July 24 just weeks after Sonnet 5 and Fable 5, drives current trader sentiment toward a near-term follow-up. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1, combined with credible routing rumors pointing to an Opus 5.2 window of September 17–18 or month-end, have concentrated market-implied odds around late September. The pattern of shrinking intervals between heavyweight models, competitive pressure from peers advancing their own frontier large language models, and Anthropic’s emphasis on cost-efficient agentic capabilities at the Opus tier reinforce expectations of continued rapid iteration rather than longer gaps seen in prior generations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$142,855 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
30 सितंबर
81%
17 सितंबर
4%
20 सितंबर
9%
24 सितंबर
67%
27 सितंबर
83%
31 अक्टूबर
98%
31 दिसंबर
98%
$142,855 वॉल्यूम
30 सितंबर
$65,296 वॉल्यूम
81%
17 सितंबर
$7,944 वॉल्यूम
4%
20 सितंबर
$4,202 वॉल्यूम
9%
24 सितंबर
$3,117 वॉल्यूम
67%
27 सितंबर
$2,134 वॉल्यूम
83%
31 अक्टूबर
$13,502 वॉल्यूम
98%
31 दिसंबर
$5,146 वॉल्यूम
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated Opus release cadence, with Claude Opus 5 shipping July 24 just weeks after Sonnet 5 and Fable 5, drives current trader sentiment toward a near-term follow-up. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1, combined with credible routing rumors pointing to an Opus 5.2 window of September 17–18 or month-end, have concentrated market-implied odds around late September. The pattern of shrinking intervals between heavyweight models, competitive pressure from peers advancing their own frontier large language models, and Anthropic’s emphasis on cost-efficient agentic capabilities at the Opus tier reinforce expectations of continued rapid iteration rather than longer gaps seen in prior generations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$142,855समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated Opus release cadence, with Claude Opus 5 shipping July 24 just weeks after Sonnet 5 and Fable 5, drives current trader sentiment toward a near-term follow-up. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1, combined with credible routing rumors pointing to an Opus 5.2 window of September 17–18 or month-end, have concentrated market-implied odds around late September. The pattern of shrinking intervals between heavyweight models, competitive pressure from peers advancing their own frontier large language models, and Anthropic’s emphasis on cost-efficient agentic capabilities at the Opus tier reinforce expectations of continued rapid iteration rather than longer gaps seen in prior generations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$142,855समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s accelerated Opus release cadence, with Claude Opus 5 shipping July 24 just weeks after Sonnet 5 and Fable 5, drives current trader sentiment toward a near-term follow-up. Recent Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1, combined with credible routing rumors pointing to an Opus 5.2 window of September 17–18 or month-end, have concentrated market-implied odds around late September. The pattern of shrinking intervals between heavyweight models, competitive pressure from peers advancing their own frontier large language models, and Anthropic’s emphasis on cost-efficient agentic capabilities at the Opus tier reinforce expectations of continued rapid iteration rather than longer gaps seen in prior generations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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