Anthropic’s rapid Opus cadence shapes current trader views, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just eight weeks after Opus 4.8 and featuring a 1M-token context window, 128K output, adaptive thinking by default, and performance approaching frontier models like Fable 5 at the same price. This follows Sonnet 5 in late June and earlier 4.x upgrades spaced roughly two months apart, reflecting intensified competition in agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and enterprise workflows. No official timeline exists for the subsequent Opus release, though historical patterns and ongoing model-family expansions suggest another update could arrive before year-end absent regulatory or supply-chain disruptions. Traders monitor API changes, benchmark gains, and competitive announcements for signals that could shift implied probabilities on near-term resolution windows.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
31 अग, 2026
31 अगस्त
11%
31 अक्टूबर
63%
31 दिसंबर
90%
$1,957 वॉल्यूम
31 अगस्त
$527 वॉल्यूम
11%
31 अक्टूबर
$923 वॉल्यूम
63%
31 दिसंबर
$507 वॉल्यूम
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus cadence shapes current trader views, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just eight weeks after Opus 4.8 and featuring a 1M-token context window, 128K output, adaptive thinking by default, and performance approaching frontier models like Fable 5 at the same price. This follows Sonnet 5 in late June and earlier 4.x upgrades spaced roughly two months apart, reflecting intensified competition in agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and enterprise workflows. No official timeline exists for the subsequent Opus release, though historical patterns and ongoing model-family expansions suggest another update could arrive before year-end absent regulatory or supply-chain disruptions. Traders monitor API changes, benchmark gains, and competitive announcements for signals that could shift implied probabilities on near-term resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,957समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid Opus cadence shapes current trader views, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just eight weeks after Opus 4.8 and featuring a 1M-token context window, 128K output, adaptive thinking by default, and performance approaching frontier models like Fable 5 at the same price. This follows Sonnet 5 in late June and earlier 4.x upgrades spaced roughly two months apart, reflecting intensified competition in agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and enterprise workflows. No official timeline exists for the subsequent Opus release, though historical patterns and ongoing model-family expansions suggest another update could arrive before year-end absent regulatory or supply-chain disruptions. Traders monitor API changes, benchmark gains, and competitive announcements for signals that could shift implied probabilities on near-term resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,957समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid Opus cadence shapes current trader views, with Claude Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026—just eight weeks after Opus 4.8 and featuring a 1M-token context window, 128K output, adaptive thinking by default, and performance approaching frontier models like Fable 5 at the same price. This follows Sonnet 5 in late June and earlier 4.x upgrades spaced roughly two months apart, reflecting intensified competition in agentic coding, long-horizon reasoning, and enterprise workflows. No official timeline exists for the subsequent Opus release, though historical patterns and ongoing model-family expansions suggest another update could arrive before year-end absent regulatory or supply-chain disruptions. Traders monitor API changes, benchmark gains, and competitive announcements for signals that could shift implied probabilities on near-term resolution windows.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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