OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and sustained revenue momentum—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—anchor trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization above $1 trillion. Latest private rounds valued the company between $730 billion and $852 billion, while secondary share sales and banker preparations signal readiness despite reports of potential slippage into 2027. Market-implied odds favoring the 1.5T+ bucket reflect these fundamentals and AI-sector multiples, tempered by the modest 10.8% probability assigned to missing the December 2027 deadline and ongoing questions around profitability and governance. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 release or further funding updates that could refine these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1.5T+ 40.4%
1.25T–1.5T 22%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई IPO नहीं 10.8%
$106,327 वॉल्यूम
$106,327 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
<500B
1%
500–750B
2%
750B–1T
10%
1T–1.25T
18%
1.25T–1.5T
22%
1.5T+
40%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई IPO नहीं
11%
1.5T+ 40.4%
1.25T–1.5T 22%
1T–1.25T 18.1%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई IPO नहीं 10.8%
$106,327 वॉल्यूम
$106,327 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2027
<500B
$8,050 वॉल्यूम
1%
500–750B
$9,889 वॉल्यूम
2%
750B–1T
$10,925 वॉल्यूम
10%
1T–1.25T
$15,107 वॉल्यूम
18%
1.25T–1.5T
$10,359 वॉल्यूम
22%
1.5T+
$27,961 वॉल्यूम
40%
31 दिसंबर, 2027 तक कोई IPO नहीं
$24,036 वॉल्यूम
11%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and sustained revenue momentum—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—anchor trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization above $1 trillion. Latest private rounds valued the company between $730 billion and $852 billion, while secondary share sales and banker preparations signal readiness despite reports of potential slippage into 2027. Market-implied odds favoring the 1.5T+ bucket reflect these fundamentals and AI-sector multiples, tempered by the modest 10.8% probability assigned to missing the December 2027 deadline and ongoing questions around profitability and governance. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 release or further funding updates that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$106,327समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and sustained revenue momentum—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—anchor trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization above $1 trillion. Latest private rounds valued the company between $730 billion and $852 billion, while secondary share sales and banker preparations signal readiness despite reports of potential slippage into 2027. Market-implied odds favoring the 1.5T+ bucket reflect these fundamentals and AI-sector multiples, tempered by the modest 10.8% probability assigned to missing the December 2027 deadline and ongoing questions around profitability and governance. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 release or further funding updates that could refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
वॉल्यूम
$106,327समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and sustained revenue momentum—now exceeding $2 billion monthly with enterprise comprising over 40%—anchor trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization above $1 trillion. Latest private rounds valued the company between $730 billion and $852 billion, while secondary share sales and banker preparations signal readiness despite reports of potential slippage into 2027. Market-implied odds favoring the 1.5T+ bucket reflect these fundamentals and AI-sector multiples, tempered by the modest 10.8% probability assigned to missing the December 2027 deadline and ongoing questions around profitability and governance. Upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 release or further funding updates that could refine these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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