Anthropic’s most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched in October 2025 and remains the current lightweight tier as of September 2026, even after the company rolled out Claude 5-series models including Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1. The absence of a Haiku 5 update alongside these higher-tier releases has created uncertainty, as traders note Anthropic’s prior pattern of following flagship launches with a faster, lower-cost variant that matches earlier frontier performance on coding, agentic tasks, and benchmarks like SWE-Bench. Recent system cards and release notes show no confirmed Haiku timeline, while competitive pressure from other labs’ efficient models and potential signals from earnings calls or API deprecations could accelerate or delay the next iteration. Market-implied odds reflect this wait-and-see stance on near-term resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
15 अक्टू, 2026
15 अक्टूबर
47%
31 अक्टूबर
55%
31 दिसंबर
56%
$9,078 वॉल्यूम
15 अक्टूबर
$0 वॉल्यूम
47%
31 अक्टूबर
$937 वॉल्यूम
55%
31 दिसंबर
$4,389 वॉल्यूम
56%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched in October 2025 and remains the current lightweight tier as of September 2026, even after the company rolled out Claude 5-series models including Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1. The absence of a Haiku 5 update alongside these higher-tier releases has created uncertainty, as traders note Anthropic’s prior pattern of following flagship launches with a faster, lower-cost variant that matches earlier frontier performance on coding, agentic tasks, and benchmarks like SWE-Bench. Recent system cards and release notes show no confirmed Haiku timeline, while competitive pressure from other labs’ efficient models and potential signals from earnings calls or API deprecations could accelerate or delay the next iteration. Market-implied odds reflect this wait-and-see stance on near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,078समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched in October 2025 and remains the current lightweight tier as of September 2026, even after the company rolled out Claude 5-series models including Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1. The absence of a Haiku 5 update alongside these higher-tier releases has created uncertainty, as traders note Anthropic’s prior pattern of following flagship launches with a faster, lower-cost variant that matches earlier frontier performance on coding, agentic tasks, and benchmarks like SWE-Bench. Recent system cards and release notes show no confirmed Haiku timeline, while competitive pressure from other labs’ efficient models and potential signals from earnings calls or API deprecations could accelerate or delay the next iteration. Market-implied odds reflect this wait-and-see stance on near-term resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$9,078समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s most recent Haiku model, Claude Haiku 4.5, launched in October 2025 and remains the current lightweight tier as of September 2026, even after the company rolled out Claude 5-series models including Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1. The absence of a Haiku 5 update alongside these higher-tier releases has created uncertainty, as traders note Anthropic’s prior pattern of following flagship launches with a faster, lower-cost variant that matches earlier frontier performance on coding, agentic tasks, and benchmarks like SWE-Bench. Recent system cards and release notes show no confirmed Haiku timeline, while competitive pressure from other labs’ efficient models and potential signals from earnings calls or API deprecations could accelerate or delay the next iteration. Market-implied odds reflect this wait-and-see stance on near-term resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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