OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra Max surged to the top of the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard on September 5 with a 1,797 score, 35 points ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 Max, following its September 3 launch. This community-driven Elo ranking, based on over 650,000 blind votes for agentic frontend coding tasks involving multi-step reasoning and tool use, directly drives the 74.1% implied probability for OpenAI. Prior to the release, Anthropic models held the lead through consistent performance in iterative web app workflows, but the new OpenAI model’s rapid ascent has narrowed the gap and shifted trader consensus. With resolution tied to the end-of-September snapshot, sustained leaderboard position remains the key swing factor amid ongoing model updates from labs like Alibaba and Moonshot.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOpenAI 74.3%
Anthropic 22%
SpaceXAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$121,327 वॉल्यूम
$121,327 वॉल्यूम

OpenAI
74%

Anthropic
22%

SpaceXAI
1%

ByteDance
1%

अलीबाबा
1%

Z.ai
<1%

मेटा
<1%

<1%

मूनशॉट
<1%

मिनीमैक्स
<1%

शाओमी
<1%

दीपसीक
<1%

थिंकी
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Poolside
<1%

मिस्ट्रील
<1%
OpenAI 74.3%
Anthropic 22%
SpaceXAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$121,327 वॉल्यूम
$121,327 वॉल्यूम

OpenAI
74%

Anthropic
22%

SpaceXAI
1%

ByteDance
1%

अलीबाबा
1%

Z.ai
<1%

मेटा
<1%

<1%

मूनशॉट
<1%

मिनीमैक्स
<1%

शाओमी
<1%

दीपसीक
<1%

थिंकी
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Poolside
<1%

मिस्ट्रील
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 20, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
समाधान स्रोत
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdevरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra Max surged to the top of the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard on September 5 with a 1,797 score, 35 points ahead of Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 Max, following its September 3 launch. This community-driven Elo ranking, based on over 650,000 blind votes for agentic frontend coding tasks involving multi-step reasoning and tool use, directly drives the 74.1% implied probability for OpenAI. Prior to the release, Anthropic models held the lead through consistent performance in iterative web app workflows, but the new OpenAI model’s rapid ascent has narrowed the gap and shifted trader consensus. With resolution tied to the end-of-September snapshot, sustained leaderboard position remains the key swing factor amid ongoing model updates from labs like Alibaba and Moonshot.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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