Traders see a tightly contested race for second place on arena.ai's Text Arena Math leaderboard by late October because multiple AI labs continue releasing large language models with comparable mathematical reasoning performance. Anthropic's recent Claude iterations lead overall, yet Chinese labs including Zhipu AI (GLM series), Moonshot (Kimi), and DeepSeek post strong MATH and AIME benchmark gains that keep them within striking distance. Western contenders like Google, OpenAI, and Mistral maintain steady capability updates, while newer entrants add volatility through rapid iteration cycles. With roughly two months remaining, the market-implied odds around 40-50% across leading options reflect uncertainty over which lab will edge ahead on the lab-filtered ranking before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAmazon 44%
Anthropic 41%
Google 41%
SpaceXAI 41%
नया
नया
31 अक्टू, 2026
Amazon
44%
Anthropic
41%
41%
SpaceXAI
41%
Baidu
41%
मूनशॉट
41%
OpenAI
41%
अलीबाबा
40%
मिस्टरल
26%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
27%
Meituan
26%
Z.ai
26%
Xiaomi
26%
Nvidia
26%
DeepSeek
26%
StepFun
26%
मेटा
25%
MiniMax
25%
बाइटडांस
25%
टेनसेंट
24%
Amazon 44%
Anthropic 41%
Google 41%
SpaceXAI 41%
नया
नया
31 अक्टू, 2026
Amazon
$0 वॉल्यूम
44%
Anthropic
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
SpaceXAI
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
Baidu
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
मूनशॉट
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
OpenAI
$0 वॉल्यूम
41%
अलीबाबा
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
मिस्टरल
$35 वॉल्यूम
26%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
Meituan
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
Z.ai
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
Xiaomi
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
Nvidia
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
DeepSeek
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
StepFun
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
मेटा
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
MiniMax
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
बाइटडांस
$0 वॉल्यूम
25%
टेनसेंट
$0 वॉल्यूम
24%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tightly contested race for second place on arena.ai's Text Arena Math leaderboard by late October because multiple AI labs continue releasing large language models with comparable mathematical reasoning performance. Anthropic's recent Claude iterations lead overall, yet Chinese labs including Zhipu AI (GLM series), Moonshot (Kimi), and DeepSeek post strong MATH and AIME benchmark gains that keep them within striking distance. Western contenders like Google, OpenAI, and Mistral maintain steady capability updates, while newer entrants add volatility through rapid iteration cycles. With roughly two months remaining, the market-implied odds around 40-50% across leading options reflect uncertainty over which lab will edge ahead on the lab-filtered ranking before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$35समाप्ति तिथि
31 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders see a tightly contested race for second place on arena.ai's Text Arena Math leaderboard by late October because multiple AI labs continue releasing large language models with comparable mathematical reasoning performance. Anthropic's recent Claude iterations lead overall, yet Chinese labs including Zhipu AI (GLM series), Moonshot (Kimi), and DeepSeek post strong MATH and AIME benchmark gains that keep them within striking distance. Western contenders like Google, OpenAI, and Mistral maintain steady capability updates, while newer entrants add volatility through rapid iteration cycles. With roughly two months remaining, the market-implied odds around 40-50% across leading options reflect uncertainty over which lab will edge ahead on the lab-filtered ranking before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$35समाप्ति तिथि
31 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a tightly contested race for second place on arena.ai's Text Arena Math leaderboard by late October because multiple AI labs continue releasing large language models with comparable mathematical reasoning performance. Anthropic's recent Claude iterations lead overall, yet Chinese labs including Zhipu AI (GLM series), Moonshot (Kimi), and DeepSeek post strong MATH and AIME benchmark gains that keep them within striking distance. Western contenders like Google, OpenAI, and Mistral maintain steady capability updates, while newer entrants add volatility through rapid iteration cycles. With roughly two months remaining, the market-implied odds around 40-50% across leading options reflect uncertainty over which lab will edge ahead on the lab-filtered ranking before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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