Anthropic's commanding 82.5% market-implied probability stems from its rapid rollout of advanced agentic systems, including the early September launches of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 for enhanced coding and research workflows, alongside the Model Hardware Standard preview that enables agents to control physical lab and manufacturing devices. Recent commerce agent blueprints for retail and enterprise use cases, plus demonstrated gains in long-horizon autonomy and safety controls, have reinforced trader consensus around its edge in production-grade AI agents. OpenAI's 17.1% share reflects its GPT-6 Astra release and computer-use benchmarks, yet lags amid ongoing comparisons on tool reliability and enterprise safeguards. With end-of-September resolution approaching, further model updates or benchmark results could still shift positioning before final evaluation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 81%
OpenAI 18.2%
Z.ai <1%
अमेज़न <1%
$183,912 वॉल्यूम
$183,912 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
Anthropic
81%
OpenAI
18%
Z.ai
<1%
अमेज़न
<1%
अलीबाबा
<1%
गूगल
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
मूनशॉट
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
<1%
मेटा
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
मिनीमैक्स
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
बाइदू
<1%
मिस्टाल
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Anthropic 81%
OpenAI 18.2%
Z.ai <1%
अमेज़न <1%
$183,912 वॉल्यूम
$183,912 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
Anthropic
$48,835 वॉल्यूम
81%
OpenAI
$26,582 वॉल्यूम
18%
Z.ai
$7,157 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अमेज़न
$7,086 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अलीबाबा
$7,149 वॉल्यूम
<1%
गूगल
$7,474 वॉल्यूम
<1%
SpaceXAI
$7,710 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मूनशॉट
$7,599 वॉल्यूम
<1%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$7,128 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मेटा
$7,388 वॉल्यूम
<1%
DeepSeek
$7,021 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिनीमैक्स
$7,084 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Nvidia
$7,153 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$6,958 वॉल्यूम
<1%
बाइदू
$7,075 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिस्टाल
$6,939 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$7,035 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$539 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's commanding 82.5% market-implied probability stems from its rapid rollout of advanced agentic systems, including the early September launches of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 for enhanced coding and research workflows, alongside the Model Hardware Standard preview that enables agents to control physical lab and manufacturing devices. Recent commerce agent blueprints for retail and enterprise use cases, plus demonstrated gains in long-horizon autonomy and safety controls, have reinforced trader consensus around its edge in production-grade AI agents. OpenAI's 17.1% share reflects its GPT-6 Astra release and computer-use benchmarks, yet lags amid ongoing comparisons on tool reliability and enterprise safeguards. With end-of-September resolution approaching, further model updates or benchmark results could still shift positioning before final evaluation.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$183,912समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's commanding 82.5% market-implied probability stems from its rapid rollout of advanced agentic systems, including the early September launches of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 for enhanced coding and research workflows, alongside the Model Hardware Standard preview that enables agents to control physical lab and manufacturing devices. Recent commerce agent blueprints for retail and enterprise use cases, plus demonstrated gains in long-horizon autonomy and safety controls, have reinforced trader consensus around its edge in production-grade AI agents. OpenAI's 17.1% share reflects its GPT-6 Astra release and computer-use benchmarks, yet lags amid ongoing comparisons on tool reliability and enterprise safeguards. With end-of-September resolution approaching, further model updates or benchmark results could still shift positioning before final evaluation.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$183,912समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's commanding 82.5% market-implied probability stems from its rapid rollout of advanced agentic systems, including the early September launches of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 for enhanced coding and research workflows, alongside the Model Hardware Standard preview that enables agents to control physical lab and manufacturing devices. Recent commerce agent blueprints for retail and enterprise use cases, plus demonstrated gains in long-horizon autonomy and safety controls, have reinforced trader consensus around its edge in production-grade AI agents. OpenAI's 17.1% share reflects its GPT-6 Astra release and computer-use benchmarks, yet lags amid ongoing comparisons on tool reliability and enterprise safeguards. With end-of-September resolution approaching, further model updates or benchmark results could still shift positioning before final evaluation.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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