Frontier AI labs remain locked in a tight race for LiveBench Mathematics leadership through September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting evenly matched probabilities across multiple unnamed contenders alongside Anthropic at 32% and ByteDance at 30.5%. Recent releases of high-effort reasoning variants, including Claude 5 Opus Thinking and GPT-5.6 Sol, have narrowed gaps on objective, contamination-free math tasks drawn from fresh competition problems, highlighting how post-training techniques and inference scaling now drive differentiation more than raw model size. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Kimi continue closing in through specialized training data and efficient architectures, while OpenAI and Google maintain steady pressure via iterative GPT and Gemini updates. Upcoming developer conferences and potential model drops in the next eight weeks represent the main catalysts that could shift trader consensus before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाByteDance 62%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट 36%
StepFun 31%
OpenAI 27%
नया
नया
30 सित, 2026
ByteDance
62%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
36%
StepFun
31%
OpenAI
27%
अलीबाबा
24%
एंथ्रोपिक
38%
Z.ai
19%
Baidu
5%
Amazon
5%
MiniMax
5%
मेटा
5%
गूगल
14%
मूनशॉट
5%
SpaceXAI
14%
DeepSeek
5%
मिस्त्राल
18%
Meituan
5%
Nvidia
20%
Xiaomi
4%
Thinky
15%
टेन्सेंट
1%
ByteDance 62%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट 36%
StepFun 31%
OpenAI 27%
नया
नया
30 सित, 2026
ByteDance
$54 वॉल्यूम
62%
माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
$72 वॉल्यूम
36%
StepFun
$72 वॉल्यूम
31%
OpenAI
$63 वॉल्यूम
27%
अलीबाबा
$52 वॉल्यूम
24%
एंथ्रोपिक
$52 वॉल्यूम
38%
Z.ai
$52 वॉल्यूम
19%
Baidu
$52 वॉल्यूम
5%
Amazon
$53 वॉल्यूम
5%
MiniMax
$53 वॉल्यूम
5%
मेटा
$52 वॉल्यूम
5%
गूगल
$52 वॉल्यूम
14%
मूनशॉट
$52 वॉल्यूम
5%
SpaceXAI
$52 वॉल्यूम
14%
DeepSeek
$52 वॉल्यूम
5%
मिस्त्राल
$52 वॉल्यूम
18%
Meituan
$52 वॉल्यूम
5%
Nvidia
$52 वॉल्यूम
20%
Xiaomi
$44 वॉल्यूम
4%
Thinky
$72 वॉल्यूम
15%
टेन्सेंट
$76 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Frontier AI labs remain locked in a tight race for LiveBench Mathematics leadership through September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting evenly matched probabilities across multiple unnamed contenders alongside Anthropic at 32% and ByteDance at 30.5%. Recent releases of high-effort reasoning variants, including Claude 5 Opus Thinking and GPT-5.6 Sol, have narrowed gaps on objective, contamination-free math tasks drawn from fresh competition problems, highlighting how post-training techniques and inference scaling now drive differentiation more than raw model size. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Kimi continue closing in through specialized training data and efficient architectures, while OpenAI and Google maintain steady pressure via iterative GPT and Gemini updates. Upcoming developer conferences and potential model drops in the next eight weeks represent the main catalysts that could shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,189समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Frontier AI labs remain locked in a tight race for LiveBench Mathematics leadership through September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting evenly matched probabilities across multiple unnamed contenders alongside Anthropic at 32% and ByteDance at 30.5%. Recent releases of high-effort reasoning variants, including Claude 5 Opus Thinking and GPT-5.6 Sol, have narrowed gaps on objective, contamination-free math tasks drawn from fresh competition problems, highlighting how post-training techniques and inference scaling now drive differentiation more than raw model size. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Kimi continue closing in through specialized training data and efficient architectures, while OpenAI and Google maintain steady pressure via iterative GPT and Gemini updates. Upcoming developer conferences and potential model drops in the next eight weeks represent the main catalysts that could shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
वॉल्यूम
$1,189समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 6:14 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=MathematicsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Frontier AI labs remain locked in a tight race for LiveBench Mathematics leadership through September 2026, with market-implied odds reflecting evenly matched probabilities across multiple unnamed contenders alongside Anthropic at 32% and ByteDance at 30.5%. Recent releases of high-effort reasoning variants, including Claude 5 Opus Thinking and GPT-5.6 Sol, have narrowed gaps on objective, contamination-free math tasks drawn from fresh competition problems, highlighting how post-training techniques and inference scaling now drive differentiation more than raw model size. Chinese labs such as Moonshot and Kimi continue closing in through specialized training data and efficient architectures, while OpenAI and Google maintain steady pressure via iterative GPT and Gemini updates. Upcoming developer conferences and potential model drops in the next eight weeks represent the main catalysts that could shift trader consensus before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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