Anthropic holds a commanding 76% implied probability in the Text Arena Math AI model market due to its recent Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 4.8, and Mythos 5 releases dominating key math benchmarks such as USAMO 2026 and various LMArena reasoning evaluations through September 2026. These large language models demonstrate superior performance on competition-level problems and novel mathematical reasoning tasks compared with rivals. OpenAI trails at 19% after Astra's open-problem solutions, yet trails in arena-specific consensus. Google and others sit below 2% amid weaker recent showings on weighted math leaderboards. With end-of-September resolution approaching, traders appear focused on Anthropic's established edge in verifiable math capabilities over speculative future releases.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 76%
OpenAI 19%
Google 1.8%
SpaceXAI <1%
$56,591 वॉल्यूम
$56,591 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
Anthropic
76%
OpenAI
19%
2%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 76%
OpenAI 19%
Google 1.8%
SpaceXAI <1%
$56,591 वॉल्यूम
$56,591 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
Anthropic
$16,023 वॉल्यूम
76%
OpenAI
$18,791 वॉल्यूम
19%
$8,002 वॉल्यूम
2%
SpaceXAI
$527 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Alibaba
$1,333 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Baidu
$642 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Z.ai
$3,433 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,234 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Moonshot
$1,067 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meta
$469 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Nvidia
$499 वॉल्यूम
<1%
DeepSeek
$565 वॉल्यूम
<1%
MiniMax
$458 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Meituan
$466 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Amazon
$450 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$449 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Mistral
$459 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Tencent
$609 वॉल्यूम
<1%
StepFun
$518 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Microsoft
$599 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding 76% implied probability in the Text Arena Math AI model market due to its recent Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 4.8, and Mythos 5 releases dominating key math benchmarks such as USAMO 2026 and various LMArena reasoning evaluations through September 2026. These large language models demonstrate superior performance on competition-level problems and novel mathematical reasoning tasks compared with rivals. OpenAI trails at 19% after Astra's open-problem solutions, yet trails in arena-specific consensus. Google and others sit below 2% amid weaker recent showings on weighted math leaderboards. With end-of-September resolution approaching, traders appear focused on Anthropic's established edge in verifiable math capabilities over speculative future releases.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$56,591समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds a commanding 76% implied probability in the Text Arena Math AI model market due to its recent Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 4.8, and Mythos 5 releases dominating key math benchmarks such as USAMO 2026 and various LMArena reasoning evaluations through September 2026. These large language models demonstrate superior performance on competition-level problems and novel mathematical reasoning tasks compared with rivals. OpenAI trails at 19% after Astra's open-problem solutions, yet trails in arena-specific consensus. Google and others sit below 2% amid weaker recent showings on weighted math leaderboards. With end-of-September resolution approaching, traders appear focused on Anthropic's established edge in verifiable math capabilities over speculative future releases.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$56,591समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding 76% implied probability in the Text Arena Math AI model market due to its recent Claude Fable 5.1, Opus 4.8, and Mythos 5 releases dominating key math benchmarks such as USAMO 2026 and various LMArena reasoning evaluations through September 2026. These large language models demonstrate superior performance on competition-level problems and novel mathematical reasoning tasks compared with rivals. OpenAI trails at 19% after Astra's open-problem solutions, yet trails in arena-specific consensus. Google and others sit below 2% amid weaker recent showings on weighted math leaderboards. With end-of-September resolution approaching, traders appear focused on Anthropic's established edge in verifiable math capabilities over speculative future releases.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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