San Francisco's marine layer and persistent onshore flow from cooler Pacific waters are the dominant factors capping daytime highs near 74–77°F on August 4, 2026, consistent with the market's heaviest trading in the 72–77°F range. Long-term August averages hover around 70–72°F at official stations, and recent National Weather Service guidance plus AccuWeather outlooks show only modest warming from a weak high-pressure ridge that has produced inland heat but failed to erode the coastal stratus enough for stronger heating. Model runs indicate any late-day clearing would still be tempered by the sea breeze, keeping extreme outcomes above 80°F or below 70°F at very low implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
4 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
74-75°F 39%
76-77°F 24%
72-73°F 23%
78-79°F 9%
$23,896 वॉल्यूम
$23,896 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
67°F या उससे कम
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
74-75°F 39%
76-77°F 24%
72-73°F 23%
78-79°F 9%
$23,896 वॉल्यूम
$23,896 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
67°F या उससे कम
$998 वॉल्यूम
<1%
68-69°F
$763 वॉल्यूम
<1%
70-71°F
$3,675 वॉल्यूम
7%
72-73°F
$2,299 वॉल्यूम
23%
74-75°F
$2,180 वॉल्यूम
39%
76-77°F
$2,545 वॉल्यूम
24%
78-79°F
$2,234 वॉल्यूम
9%
80-81°F
$2,427 वॉल्यूम
1%
82-83°F
$2,020 वॉल्यूम
<1%
84-85°F
$3,427 वॉल्यूम
<1%
86°F या उससे अधिक
$1,329 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.San Francisco's marine layer and persistent onshore flow from cooler Pacific waters are the dominant factors capping daytime highs near 74–77°F on August 4, 2026, consistent with the market's heaviest trading in the 72–77°F range. Long-term August averages hover around 70–72°F at official stations, and recent National Weather Service guidance plus AccuWeather outlooks show only modest warming from a weak high-pressure ridge that has produced inland heat but failed to erode the coastal stratus enough for stronger heating. Model runs indicate any late-day clearing would still be tempered by the sea breeze, keeping extreme outcomes above 80°F or below 70°F at very low implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$23,896समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.San Francisco's marine layer and persistent onshore flow from cooler Pacific waters are the dominant factors capping daytime highs near 74–77°F on August 4, 2026, consistent with the market's heaviest trading in the 72–77°F range. Long-term August averages hover around 70–72°F at official stations, and recent National Weather Service guidance plus AccuWeather outlooks show only modest warming from a weak high-pressure ridge that has produced inland heat but failed to erode the coastal stratus enough for stronger heating. Model runs indicate any late-day clearing would still be tempered by the sea breeze, keeping extreme outcomes above 80°F or below 70°F at very low implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$23,896समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETSan Francisco's marine layer and persistent onshore flow from cooler Pacific waters are the dominant factors capping daytime highs near 74–77°F on August 4, 2026, consistent with the market's heaviest trading in the 72–77°F range. Long-term August averages hover around 70–72°F at official stations, and recent National Weather Service guidance plus AccuWeather outlooks show only modest warming from a weak high-pressure ridge that has produced inland heat but failed to erode the coastal stratus enough for stronger heating. Model runs indicate any late-day clearing would still be tempered by the sea breeze, keeping extreme outcomes above 80°F or below 70°F at very low implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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