Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting ECMWF model runs point to a peak temperature near 25–26°C on August 6 under largely sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge is limiting cloud cover and warm-air advection from the south, while typical August climatology for Paris shows average highs near 25°C. Minor forecast spread arises from possible afternoon convective development or slight shifts in boundary-layer mixing that could trim or add 1°C. Traders are weighing the latest 48-hour model updates against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25°C 41%
26°C 28%
24°C 20%
23°C 6%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
20%
25°C
41%
26°C
28%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 41%
26°C 28%
24°C 20%
23°C 6%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
20%
25°C
41%
26°C
28%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting ECMWF model runs point to a peak temperature near 25–26°C on August 6 under largely sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. A stable high-pressure ridge is limiting cloud cover and warm-air advection from the south, while typical August climatology for Paris shows average highs near 25°C. Minor forecast spread arises from possible afternoon convective development or slight shifts in boundary-layer mixing that could trim or add 1°C. Traders are weighing the latest 48-hour model updates against historical variability, with resolution hinging on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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