Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning readings near 17°C under largely sunny skies following earlier heat, positioning this as the primary driver behind the market's 43% implied probability for a 15°C low. Traders weigh typical August nocturnal radiative cooling—enhanced by clear conditions and moderate wind—against urban heat island effects that often keep minima 1–2°C above rural forecasts. Historical climatology shows Paris August lows averaging 14–15°C, with current model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF supporting values clustered around 15–16°C while allowing for modest revisions from evolving boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual instability. Upcoming updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
6 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
15°C 43%
16°C 24%
14°C 18%
13°C 10%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
5%
13°C
10%
14°C
18%
15°C
43%
16°C
24%
17°C
10%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C या उससे अधिक
2%
15°C 43%
16°C 24%
14°C 18%
13°C 10%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
12°C या उससे कम
$11 वॉल्यूम
5%
13°C
$64 वॉल्यूम
10%
14°C
$13 वॉल्यूम
18%
15°C
$21 वॉल्यूम
43%
16°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
24%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
10%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
9%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
20°C
$25 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
22°C या उससे अधिक
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning readings near 17°C under largely sunny skies following earlier heat, positioning this as the primary driver behind the market's 43% implied probability for a 15°C low. Traders weigh typical August nocturnal radiative cooling—enhanced by clear conditions and moderate wind—against urban heat island effects that often keep minima 1–2°C above rural forecasts. Historical climatology shows Paris August lows averaging 14–15°C, with current model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF supporting values clustered around 15–16°C while allowing for modest revisions from evolving boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual instability. Upcoming updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$161समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning readings near 17°C under largely sunny skies following earlier heat, positioning this as the primary driver behind the market's 43% implied probability for a 15°C low. Traders weigh typical August nocturnal radiative cooling—enhanced by clear conditions and moderate wind—against urban heat island effects that often keep minima 1–2°C above rural forecasts. Historical climatology shows Paris August lows averaging 14–15°C, with current model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF supporting values clustered around 15–16°C while allowing for modest revisions from evolving boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual instability. Upcoming updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$161समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Météo-France guidance highlights a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning readings near 17°C under largely sunny skies following earlier heat, positioning this as the primary driver behind the market's 43% implied probability for a 15°C low. Traders weigh typical August nocturnal radiative cooling—enhanced by clear conditions and moderate wind—against urban heat island effects that often keep minima 1–2°C above rural forecasts. Historical climatology shows Paris August lows averaging 14–15°C, with current model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF supporting values clustered around 15–16°C while allowing for modest revisions from evolving boundary-layer moisture or timing of any residual instability. Upcoming updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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