Recent Met Office regional guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm but not extreme pattern for London on August 4, with southerly flow and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions before increasing humidity and shower risk. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those thresholds, reflecting 2026’s broader above-average summer temperatures and multiple prior heat periods that have elevated baseline warmth by roughly 2–3°C across southern England. Official measurements at London-area sites incorporate the urban heat island effect, while forecast uncertainty centers on exact cloud cover and any Atlantic frontal timing that could cap peaks below 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for refinements ahead of the Tuesday resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
4 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 39%
28°C 30%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
20%
28°C
30%
29°C
39%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 39%
28°C 30%
27°C 20%
30°C 10%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
25°C or below
$181 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$147 वॉल्यूम
4%
27°C
$229 वॉल्यूम
20%
28°C
$231 वॉल्यूम
30%
29°C
$698 वॉल्यूम
39%
30°C
$111 वॉल्यूम
10%
31°C
$111 वॉल्यूम
5%
32°C
$32 वॉल्यूम
1%
33°C
$131 वॉल्यूम
<1%
34°C
$121 वॉल्यूम
<1%
35°C or higher
$143 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office regional guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm but not extreme pattern for London on August 4, with southerly flow and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions before increasing humidity and shower risk. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those thresholds, reflecting 2026’s broader above-average summer temperatures and multiple prior heat periods that have elevated baseline warmth by roughly 2–3°C across southern England. Official measurements at London-area sites incorporate the urban heat island effect, while forecast uncertainty centers on exact cloud cover and any Atlantic frontal timing that could cap peaks below 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for refinements ahead of the Tuesday resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,136समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office regional guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm but not extreme pattern for London on August 4, with southerly flow and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions before increasing humidity and shower risk. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those thresholds, reflecting 2026’s broader above-average summer temperatures and multiple prior heat periods that have elevated baseline warmth by roughly 2–3°C across southern England. Official measurements at London-area sites incorporate the urban heat island effect, while forecast uncertainty centers on exact cloud cover and any Atlantic frontal timing that could cap peaks below 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for refinements ahead of the Tuesday resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,136समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office regional guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a warm but not extreme pattern for London on August 4, with southerly flow and high pressure supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C under mostly sunny conditions before increasing humidity and shower risk. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those thresholds, reflecting 2026’s broader above-average summer temperatures and multiple prior heat periods that have elevated baseline warmth by roughly 2–3°C across southern England. Official measurements at London-area sites incorporate the urban heat island effect, while forecast uncertainty centers on exact cloud cover and any Atlantic frontal timing that could cap peaks below 28°C. Traders are monitoring the next Met Office and ECMWF updates for refinements ahead of the Tuesday resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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