Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime highs of 30–32°C in coastal Qingdao on August 4, moderated by sea breezes and possible marine layer clouds, yet with sufficient spread in ensemble runs to support warmer outcomes if ridging strengthens or skies clear. This uncertainty, combined with early-August climatology showing occasional peaks near 34–35°C amid high humidity, underpins the market’s emphasis on 34°C (35.5%) and 35°C (22.5%) while assigning notable implied probability (21.5%) to 36°C or higher. Updated forecasts through the next 48 hours and any revised guidance on steering patterns will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को क़िंगदाओ में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
4 अगस्त को क़िंगदाओ में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
34°C 37%
35°C 26%
33°C 20%
36°C या उससे अधिक 19%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
20%
34°C
37%
35°C
26%
36°C या उससे अधिक
19%
34°C 37%
35°C 26%
33°C 20%
36°C या उससे अधिक 19%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
26°C या उससे कम
$353 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$443 वॉल्यूम
<1%
28°C
$433 वॉल्यूम
<1%
29°C
$42 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$27 वॉल्यूम
1%
31°C
$33 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C
$34 वॉल्यूम
6%
33°C
$4 वॉल्यूम
20%
34°C
$86 वॉल्यूम
37%
35°C
$24 वॉल्यूम
26%
36°C या उससे अधिक
$621 वॉल्यूम
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime highs of 30–32°C in coastal Qingdao on August 4, moderated by sea breezes and possible marine layer clouds, yet with sufficient spread in ensemble runs to support warmer outcomes if ridging strengthens or skies clear. This uncertainty, combined with early-August climatology showing occasional peaks near 34–35°C amid high humidity, underpins the market’s emphasis on 34°C (35.5%) and 35°C (22.5%) while assigning notable implied probability (21.5%) to 36°C or higher. Updated forecasts through the next 48 hours and any revised guidance on steering patterns will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,100समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime highs of 30–32°C in coastal Qingdao on August 4, moderated by sea breezes and possible marine layer clouds, yet with sufficient spread in ensemble runs to support warmer outcomes if ridging strengthens or skies clear. This uncertainty, combined with early-August climatology showing occasional peaks near 34–35°C amid high humidity, underpins the market’s emphasis on 34°C (35.5%) and 35°C (22.5%) while assigning notable implied probability (21.5%) to 36°C or higher. Updated forecasts through the next 48 hours and any revised guidance on steering patterns will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,100समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration points to daytime highs of 30–32°C in coastal Qingdao on August 4, moderated by sea breezes and possible marine layer clouds, yet with sufficient spread in ensemble runs to support warmer outcomes if ridging strengthens or skies clear. This uncertainty, combined with early-August climatology showing occasional peaks near 34–35°C amid high humidity, underpins the market’s emphasis on 34°C (35.5%) and 35°C (22.5%) while assigning notable implied probability (21.5%) to 36°C or higher. Updated forecasts through the next 48 hours and any revised guidance on steering patterns will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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