Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency position 33–35 °C as the most probable range for Tokyo’s August 2 maximum, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (34 °C at 40 %, 35 °C at 24.5 %, 33 °C at 23.5 %). August climatology features peak insolation and urban heat-island amplification that routinely pushes daytime highs 2–4 °C above the 31–32 °C seasonal normal, while recent model consensus shows modest cooling from expected showers and increased cloud cover that limits radiative heating. These conditions reduce the odds of extremes above 36 °C and support the narrow distribution traders currently price, with updated JMA and ensemble runs due overnight offering the next key data points for any shift in sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
2 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
34°C 40%
35°C 25%
33°C 24%
36°C 8%
नया
$11,755 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,755 वॉल्यूम
2 अग, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
24%
34°C
40%
35°C
25%
36°C
8%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 40%
35°C 25%
33°C 24%
36°C 8%
नया
$11,755 वॉल्यूम
नया
$11,755 वॉल्यूम
2 अग, 2026
30°C or below
$1,790 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$1,635 वॉल्यूम
2%
32°C
$377 वॉल्यूम
5%
33°C
$1,771 वॉल्यूम
24%
34°C
$1,005 वॉल्यूम
40%
35°C
$881 वॉल्यूम
25%
36°C
$731 वॉल्यूम
8%
37°C
$1,100 वॉल्यूम
2%
38°C
$1,490 वॉल्यूम
1%
39°C
$522 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40°C or higher
$862 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency position 33–35 °C as the most probable range for Tokyo’s August 2 maximum, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (34 °C at 40 %, 35 °C at 24.5 %, 33 °C at 23.5 %). August climatology features peak insolation and urban heat-island amplification that routinely pushes daytime highs 2–4 °C above the 31–32 °C seasonal normal, while recent model consensus shows modest cooling from expected showers and increased cloud cover that limits radiative heating. These conditions reduce the odds of extremes above 36 °C and support the narrow distribution traders currently price, with updated JMA and ensemble runs due overnight offering the next key data points for any shift in sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$11,755समाप्ति तिथि
2 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency position 33–35 °C as the most probable range for Tokyo’s August 2 maximum, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (34 °C at 40 %, 35 °C at 24.5 %, 33 °C at 23.5 %). August climatology features peak insolation and urban heat-island amplification that routinely pushes daytime highs 2–4 °C above the 31–32 °C seasonal normal, while recent model consensus shows modest cooling from expected showers and increased cloud cover that limits radiative heating. These conditions reduce the odds of extremes above 36 °C and support the narrow distribution traders currently price, with updated JMA and ensemble runs due overnight offering the next key data points for any shift in sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$11,755समाप्ति तिथि
2 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency position 33–35 °C as the most probable range for Tokyo’s August 2 maximum, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities (34 °C at 40 %, 35 °C at 24.5 %, 33 °C at 23.5 %). August climatology features peak insolation and urban heat-island amplification that routinely pushes daytime highs 2–4 °C above the 31–32 °C seasonal normal, while recent model consensus shows modest cooling from expected showers and increased cloud cover that limits radiative heating. These conditions reduce the odds of extremes above 36 °C and support the narrow distribution traders currently price, with updated JMA and ensemble runs due overnight offering the next key data points for any shift in sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न