Market-implied odds heavily favor an 11°C high in Wellington today, reflecting the latest MetService observations and forecast models showing a maximum near that threshold under cool, cloudy conditions with northwest winds. August climatology supports this positioning, with historical average daily maxima around 12°C at Wellington Aero and typical winter variability driven by southerly flows keeping daytime peaks in the 10–13°C range. Official temperature records from Kelburn station and nearby automated sites provide the resolution benchmark, and current model consensus shows limited warming potential before the day ends. A shift in steering patterns or delayed frontal passage could push readings to 12°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability given stable pressure fields and recent observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया1 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
1 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
11°C 99%
12°C <1%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
नया
$128,508 वॉल्यूम
नया
$128,508 वॉल्यूम
1 अग, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
99%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 99%
12°C <1%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
नया
$128,508 वॉल्यूम
नया
$128,508 वॉल्यूम
1 अग, 2026
5°C or below
$366 वॉल्यूम
<1%
6°C
$639 वॉल्यूम
<1%
7°C
$3,954 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8°C
$12,387 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$21,375 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$44,631 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$18,027 वॉल्यूम
99%
12°C
$9,911 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$6,404 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$8,416 वॉल्यूम
<1%
15°C or higher
$2,399 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor an 11°C high in Wellington today, reflecting the latest MetService observations and forecast models showing a maximum near that threshold under cool, cloudy conditions with northwest winds. August climatology supports this positioning, with historical average daily maxima around 12°C at Wellington Aero and typical winter variability driven by southerly flows keeping daytime peaks in the 10–13°C range. Official temperature records from Kelburn station and nearby automated sites provide the resolution benchmark, and current model consensus shows limited warming potential before the day ends. A shift in steering patterns or delayed frontal passage could push readings to 12°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability given stable pressure fields and recent observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$128,508समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor an 11°C high in Wellington today, reflecting the latest MetService observations and forecast models showing a maximum near that threshold under cool, cloudy conditions with northwest winds. August climatology supports this positioning, with historical average daily maxima around 12°C at Wellington Aero and typical winter variability driven by southerly flows keeping daytime peaks in the 10–13°C range. Official temperature records from Kelburn station and nearby automated sites provide the resolution benchmark, and current model consensus shows limited warming potential before the day ends. A shift in steering patterns or delayed frontal passage could push readings to 12°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability given stable pressure fields and recent observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$128,508समाप्ति तिथि
1 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds heavily favor an 11°C high in Wellington today, reflecting the latest MetService observations and forecast models showing a maximum near that threshold under cool, cloudy conditions with northwest winds. August climatology supports this positioning, with historical average daily maxima around 12°C at Wellington Aero and typical winter variability driven by southerly flows keeping daytime peaks in the 10–13°C range. Official temperature records from Kelburn station and nearby automated sites provide the resolution benchmark, and current model consensus shows limited warming potential before the day ends. A shift in steering patterns or delayed frontal passage could push readings to 12°C or higher, though such deviations remain low-probability given stable pressure fields and recent observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न