Current model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Munich on August 2 as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities around 30°C. A stable high-pressure system over Central Europe is maintaining warm, dry air masses with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent ECMWF and ICON runs show only minor adjustments to the thermal profile, keeping the 30°C threshold as the central tendency while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage keeps adjacent values competitive. Updated official guidance from the German Weather Service is expected within the next 12–24 hours and could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2 अगस्त को म्यूनिख में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 34%
29°C 24%
31°C 21%
28°C 15%
$16,324 वॉल्यूम
$16,324 वॉल्यूम
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
15%
29°C
24%
30°C
34%
31°C
21%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
29°C 24%
31°C 21%
28°C 15%
$16,324 वॉल्यूम
$16,324 वॉल्यूम
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
15%
29°C
24%
30°C
34%
31°C
21%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a maximum temperature of 29–31°C in Munich on August 2 as the most likely outcome, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities around 30°C. A stable high-pressure system over Central Europe is maintaining warm, dry air masses with limited cloud cover and light winds, supporting daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Recent ECMWF and ICON runs show only minor adjustments to the thermal profile, keeping the 30°C threshold as the central tendency while uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any weak frontal passage keeps adjacent values competitive. Updated official guidance from the German Weather Service is expected within the next 12–24 hours and could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न