**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 23°C high for São Paulo on July 31, 2026, reflecting tight agreement in official forecasts and real-time observations.** Mid-winter subtropical high pressure, light winds, and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies have produced stable conditions aligned with the city’s July climatology of 21–22°C daily maxima at reference stations such as Guarulhos. Numerical weather prediction runs (GFS, ECMWF) and guidance from meteorological services show minimal day-to-day variability, with negligible precipitation risk and no significant warm advection to push temperatures higher. This positioning draws from the “wisdom of crowds” in prediction markets, where capital at risk incentivizes precise assessment of short-term atmospheric variables. The 99.9% implied probability on 23°C indicates forecasters and traders view deviations as highly unlikely given current model consensus and observed trends. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute shifts in cloud cover, localized urban heat-island effects at measurement sites, or minor run-to-run model differences that could alter the exact peak by 1°C—scenarios that would need to materialize rapidly on resolution day itself. Updated agency briefings and final station readings remain the key near-term data points.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 जुलाई को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31 जुलाई को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,335 वॉल्यूम
$44,335 वॉल्यूम
31 जुल, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,335 वॉल्यूम
$44,335 वॉल्यूम
31 जुल, 2026
17°C or below
$922 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$1,815 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$937 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$3,199 वॉल्यूम
<1%
21°C
$6,597 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22°C
$7,389 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$8,198 वॉल्यूम
100%
24°C
$4,753 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$5,161 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$3,768 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,596 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 23°C high for São Paulo on July 31, 2026, reflecting tight agreement in official forecasts and real-time observations.** Mid-winter subtropical high pressure, light winds, and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies have produced stable conditions aligned with the city’s July climatology of 21–22°C daily maxima at reference stations such as Guarulhos. Numerical weather prediction runs (GFS, ECMWF) and guidance from meteorological services show minimal day-to-day variability, with negligible precipitation risk and no significant warm advection to push temperatures higher.
This positioning draws from the “wisdom of crowds” in prediction markets, where capital at risk incentivizes precise assessment of short-term atmospheric variables. The 99.9% implied probability on 23°C indicates forecasters and traders view deviations as highly unlikely given current model consensus and observed trends. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute shifts in cloud cover, localized urban heat-island effects at measurement sites, or minor run-to-run model differences that could alter the exact peak by 1°C—scenarios that would need to materialize rapidly on resolution day itself. Updated agency briefings and final station readings remain the key near-term data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$44,335समाप्ति तिथि
31 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 23°C high for São Paulo on July 31, 2026, reflecting tight agreement in official forecasts and real-time observations.** Mid-winter subtropical high pressure, light winds, and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies have produced stable conditions aligned with the city’s July climatology of 21–22°C daily maxima at reference stations such as Guarulhos. Numerical weather prediction runs (GFS, ECMWF) and guidance from meteorological services show minimal day-to-day variability, with negligible precipitation risk and no significant warm advection to push temperatures higher.
This positioning draws from the “wisdom of crowds” in prediction markets, where capital at risk incentivizes precise assessment of short-term atmospheric variables. The 99.9% implied probability on 23°C indicates forecasters and traders view deviations as highly unlikely given current model consensus and observed trends. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute shifts in cloud cover, localized urban heat-island effects at measurement sites, or minor run-to-run model differences that could alter the exact peak by 1°C—scenarios that would need to materialize rapidly on resolution day itself. Updated agency briefings and final station readings remain the key near-term data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$44,335समाप्ति तिथि
31 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 23°C high for São Paulo on July 31, 2026, reflecting tight agreement in official forecasts and real-time observations.** Mid-winter subtropical high pressure, light winds, and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies have produced stable conditions aligned with the city’s July climatology of 21–22°C daily maxima at reference stations such as Guarulhos. Numerical weather prediction runs (GFS, ECMWF) and guidance from meteorological services show minimal day-to-day variability, with negligible precipitation risk and no significant warm advection to push temperatures higher. This positioning draws from the “wisdom of crowds” in prediction markets, where capital at risk incentivizes precise assessment of short-term atmospheric variables. The 99.9% implied probability on 23°C indicates forecasters and traders view deviations as highly unlikely given current model consensus and observed trends. Realistic challenges remain limited to last-minute shifts in cloud cover, localized urban heat-island effects at measurement sites, or minor run-to-run model differences that could alter the exact peak by 1°C—scenarios that would need to materialize rapidly on resolution day itself. Updated agency briefings and final station readings remain the key near-term data points.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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