Persistent summer heat and humidity across subtropical Shanghai, with recent daytime highs near 37–38°C and overnight lows around 29°C, underpin trader focus on 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for the August 4 minimum. Long-range guidance from models shows stable high-pressure dominance and minimal frontal or tropical influences, favoring gradual overnight cooling to the mid-20s Celsius range consistent with early-August climatology. No major shifts in forecast consensus or observational data have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning, leaving implied probabilities anchored to expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
27°C 40%
26°C 16%
28°C 16%
22°C 10%
21°C या उससे नीचे
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
50%
28°C
16%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
1%
27°C 40%
26°C 16%
28°C 16%
22°C 10%
21°C या उससे नीचे
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
50%
28°C
16%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat and humidity across subtropical Shanghai, with recent daytime highs near 37–38°C and overnight lows around 29°C, underpin trader focus on 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for the August 4 minimum. Long-range guidance from models shows stable high-pressure dominance and minimal frontal or tropical influences, favoring gradual overnight cooling to the mid-20s Celsius range consistent with early-August climatology. No major shifts in forecast consensus or observational data have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning, leaving implied probabilities anchored to expected radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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