Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including extended models from AccuWeather and European agencies, indicate a warm air mass over southern Germany with daytime highs for Munich on August 4 projected between 34–36°C under mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds. These temperatures exceed the long-term August average of roughly 23–25°C due to seasonal solar insolation combined with minimal cloud cover and potential subsidence from high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 35°C and 27.5% for 36°C, aligns with this ensemble guidance while accounting for typical model spread and the possibility of localized convection reducing peak values. Updated short-range runs closer to the date will refine whether maximums reach the upper or lower end of the current range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को म्यूनिख में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
4 अगस्त को म्यूनिख में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
35°C 36%
36°C 28%
37°C 18%
34°C 18%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
18%
35°C
36%
36°C
28%
37°C
18%
38°C
4%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
2%
35°C 36%
36°C 28%
37°C 18%
34°C 18%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
30°C or below
$440 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$62 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C
$42 वॉल्यूम
4%
33°C
$83 वॉल्यूम
2%
34°C
$374 वॉल्यूम
18%
35°C
$441 वॉल्यूम
36%
36°C
$165 वॉल्यूम
28%
37°C
$131 वॉल्यूम
18%
38°C
$103 वॉल्यूम
4%
39°C
$32 वॉल्यूम
2%
40°C or higher
$15 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including extended models from AccuWeather and European agencies, indicate a warm air mass over southern Germany with daytime highs for Munich on August 4 projected between 34–36°C under mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds. These temperatures exceed the long-term August average of roughly 23–25°C due to seasonal solar insolation combined with minimal cloud cover and potential subsidence from high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 35°C and 27.5% for 36°C, aligns with this ensemble guidance while accounting for typical model spread and the possibility of localized convection reducing peak values. Updated short-range runs closer to the date will refine whether maximums reach the upper or lower end of the current range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,887समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including extended models from AccuWeather and European agencies, indicate a warm air mass over southern Germany with daytime highs for Munich on August 4 projected between 34–36°C under mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds. These temperatures exceed the long-term August average of roughly 23–25°C due to seasonal solar insolation combined with minimal cloud cover and potential subsidence from high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 35°C and 27.5% for 36°C, aligns with this ensemble guidance while accounting for typical model spread and the possibility of localized convection reducing peak values. Updated short-range runs closer to the date will refine whether maximums reach the upper or lower end of the current range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,887समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including extended models from AccuWeather and European agencies, indicate a warm air mass over southern Germany with daytime highs for Munich on August 4 projected between 34–36°C under mostly sunny conditions and light westerly winds. These temperatures exceed the long-term August average of roughly 23–25°C due to seasonal solar insolation combined with minimal cloud cover and potential subsidence from high pressure. Trader consensus, reflected in the 38.5% implied probability for 35°C and 27.5% for 36°C, aligns with this ensemble guidance while accounting for typical model spread and the possibility of localized convection reducing peak values. Updated short-range runs closer to the date will refine whether maximums reach the upper or lower end of the current range.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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