Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a modest warming trend for San Francisco on August 5 amid a broader California heat event, with the marine layer expected to limit coastal penetration. Onshore westerly flow and a shallow marine inversion typically cap daytime maxima near 70–75 °F at official stations, while reduced fog depth or a slight offshore component could allow readings into the mid-70s. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 70–75 °F bins reflects this narrow uncertainty range, with traders weighing the latest GFS and ECMWF solutions against climatological August averages near 70 °F. Stronger sea breezes or earlier clearing would favor the lower bins, whereas any ridge strengthening could push toward 76–77 °F.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
5 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
70-71°F 28%
72-73°F 26%
74-75°F 26%
76-77°F 13%
नया
नया
5 अग, 2026
65°F या उससे कम
1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
3%
84°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
70-71°F 28%
72-73°F 26%
74-75°F 26%
76-77°F 13%
नया
नया
5 अग, 2026
65°F या उससे कम
$80 वॉल्यूम
1%
66-67°F
$22 वॉल्यूम
6%
68-69°F
$35 वॉल्यूम
5%
70-71°F
$304 वॉल्यूम
28%
72-73°F
$103 वॉल्यूम
26%
74-75°F
$117 वॉल्यूम
26%
76-77°F
$161 वॉल्यूम
13%
78-79°F
$100 वॉल्यूम
7%
80-81°F
$41 वॉल्यूम
4%
82-83°F
$27 वॉल्यूम
3%
84°F या उससे अधिक
$95 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a modest warming trend for San Francisco on August 5 amid a broader California heat event, with the marine layer expected to limit coastal penetration. Onshore westerly flow and a shallow marine inversion typically cap daytime maxima near 70–75 °F at official stations, while reduced fog depth or a slight offshore component could allow readings into the mid-70s. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 70–75 °F bins reflects this narrow uncertainty range, with traders weighing the latest GFS and ECMWF solutions against climatological August averages near 70 °F. Stronger sea breezes or earlier clearing would favor the lower bins, whereas any ridge strengthening could push toward 76–77 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,085समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a modest warming trend for San Francisco on August 5 amid a broader California heat event, with the marine layer expected to limit coastal penetration. Onshore westerly flow and a shallow marine inversion typically cap daytime maxima near 70–75 °F at official stations, while reduced fog depth or a slight offshore component could allow readings into the mid-70s. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 70–75 °F bins reflects this narrow uncertainty range, with traders weighing the latest GFS and ECMWF solutions against climatological August averages near 70 °F. Stronger sea breezes or earlier clearing would favor the lower bins, whereas any ridge strengthening could push toward 76–77 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,085समाप्ति तिथि
5 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a modest warming trend for San Francisco on August 5 amid a broader California heat event, with the marine layer expected to limit coastal penetration. Onshore westerly flow and a shallow marine inversion typically cap daytime maxima near 70–75 °F at official stations, while reduced fog depth or a slight offshore component could allow readings into the mid-70s. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 70–75 °F bins reflects this narrow uncertainty range, with traders weighing the latest GFS and ECMWF solutions against climatological August averages near 70 °F. Stronger sea breezes or earlier clearing would favor the lower bins, whereas any ridge strengthening could push toward 76–77 °F.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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