Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to a Tuesday high near 80–82°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds, positioning the 84–85°F bin as the market favorite while supporting strong volume on 82–83°F and 80–81°F outcomes. A moderating maritime air mass and possible residual cloud cover from overnight activity are limiting afternoon heating below the long-term August Central Park average of 83°F. Model consensus shows limited instability and no strong warm advection, keeping peak temperatures clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
4 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
84-85°F 46%
82-83°F 20%
86-87°F 16%
80-81°F 14%
नया
$15,671 वॉल्यूम
नया
$15,671 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
73°F या उससे कम
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
84-85°F 46%
82-83°F 20%
86-87°F 16%
80-81°F 14%
नया
$15,671 वॉल्यूम
नया
$15,671 वॉल्यूम
4 अग, 2026
73°F या उससे कम
$483 वॉल्यूम
<1%
74-75°F
$508 वॉल्यूम
<1%
76-77°F
$806 वॉल्यूम
<1%
78-79°F
$2,134 वॉल्यूम
3%
80-81°F
$2,647 वॉल्यूम
14%
82-83°F
$1,134 वॉल्यूम
20%
84-85°F
$2,178 वॉल्यूम
46%
86-87°F
$1,715 वॉल्यूम
16%
88-89°F
$2,123 वॉल्यूम
3%
90-91°F
$1,470 वॉल्यूम
<1%
92°F या उससे अधिक
$473 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to a Tuesday high near 80–82°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds, positioning the 84–85°F bin as the market favorite while supporting strong volume on 82–83°F and 80–81°F outcomes. A moderating maritime air mass and possible residual cloud cover from overnight activity are limiting afternoon heating below the long-term August Central Park average of 83°F. Model consensus shows limited instability and no strong warm advection, keeping peak temperatures clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,671समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to a Tuesday high near 80–82°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds, positioning the 84–85°F bin as the market favorite while supporting strong volume on 82–83°F and 80–81°F outcomes. A moderating maritime air mass and possible residual cloud cover from overnight activity are limiting afternoon heating below the long-term August Central Park average of 83°F. Model consensus shows limited instability and no strong warm advection, keeping peak temperatures clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$15,671समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to a Tuesday high near 80–82°F under mostly sunny skies with light southeast winds, positioning the 84–85°F bin as the market favorite while supporting strong volume on 82–83°F and 80–81°F outcomes. A moderating maritime air mass and possible residual cloud cover from overnight activity are limiting afternoon heating below the long-term August Central Park average of 83°F. Model consensus shows limited instability and no strong warm advection, keeping peak temperatures clustered in the low-to-mid 80s. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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