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Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan
Politique·Taïwan

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan

Chen Ting-fei 82%

Hsieh Lung-chieh 17%

Lin Chun-hsien 2.1%

Lin Yi-feng 2.0%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Chen Ting-fei 82%

Hsieh Lung-chieh 17%

Lin Chun-hsien 2.1%

Lin Yi-feng 2.0%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Chen Ting-fei

Chen Ting-fei

$406 Vol.

82%

icon for Hsieh Lung-chieh

Hsieh Lung-chieh

$137 Vol.

17%

icon for Lin Chun-hsien

Lin Chun-hsien

$94 Vol.

2%

icon for Lin Yi-feng

Lin Yi-feng

$113 Vol.

2%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and former legislator, leads the Tainan mayoral race as the clear market favorite after securing her party's primary nomination in January 2026 against Lin Chun-hsien. Tainan's status as a long-standing DPP stronghold underpins trader consensus on her position ahead of the November 28 vote. Kuomintang candidate Hsieh Lung-chieh, a sitting legislator, remains the main challenger, though a March 2026 poll showed the gap narrowing to roughly 46-41 percent. Minor candidates including Lin Yi-feng and Lin Chun-hsien register minimal support. No major new developments have emerged since the spring polling, leaving party loyalty and historical voting patterns as the dominant factors reflected in current implied probabilities.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$749
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee and former legislator, leads the Tainan mayoral race as the clear market favorite after securing her party's primary nomination in January 2026 against Lin Chun-hsien. Tainan's status as a long-standing DPP stronghold underpins trader consensus on her position ahead of the November 28 vote. Kuomintang candidate Hsieh Lung-chieh, a sitting legislator, remains the main challenger, though a March 2026 poll showed the gap narrowing to roughly 46-41 percent. Minor candidates including Lin Yi-feng and Lin Chun-hsien register minimal support. No major new developments have emerged since the spring polling, leaving party loyalty and historical voting patterns as the dominant factors reflected in current implied probabilities.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$749
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Connexes

icon for Johnny Chiang va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taichung ?

Johnny Chiang va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taichung ?

80%
Oui
icon for Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

90%
Oui
icon for Chang San-cheng va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taoyuan ?

Chang San-cheng va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taoyuan ?

89%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Chen Ting-fei » à 82%, suivi de « Hsieh Lung-chieh » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 82¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan » est « Chen Ting-fei » à 82%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 82% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Hsieh Lung-chieh » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Tainan » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.