Skip to main content
icon for Élection sénatoriale de Maranhão : 2e place
Politique·Élection Principale

Élection sénatoriale de Maranhão : 2e place

icon for Élection sénatoriale de Maranhão : 2e place
Politique·Élection Principale

Élection sénatoriale de Maranhão : 2e place

Raimundo Moreira 45%

Wilson Leite 26%

Simplício Araújo 26%

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 25%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Raimundo Moreira 45%

Wilson Leite 26%

Simplício Araújo 26%

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo 25%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$36 Vol.

45%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$36 Vol.

26%

icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$36 Vol.

26%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$36 Vol.

25%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$36 Vol.

25%

icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$36 Vol.

22%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$36 Vol.

22%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$36 Vol.

21%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$36 Vol.

21%

icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$52 Vol.

20%

icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$36 Vol.

19%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Maranhão’s Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, with two seats awarded under plurality block voting.** Multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), plus challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO)—are polling within a narrow band for second place, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Recent party conventions finalized an 11-candidate field in early August, while polls released in the same period show Roseana Sarney leading overall but a fragmented contest for the runner-up spot. This dynamic sustains tight trader pricing because small shifts in voter preferences, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could reorder the ranking without a dominant frontrunner emerging. Further polling releases or campaign momentum through September represent the clearest catalysts for separation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$412
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Maranhão’s Senate race for the second seat remains highly competitive ahead of the October 4, 2026 election, with two seats awarded under plurality block voting.** Multiple candidates—including incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) and Eliziane Gama (PT), plus challengers such as Roseana Sarney (MDB), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO)—are polling within a narrow band for second place, keeping implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. Recent party conventions finalized an 11-candidate field in early August, while polls released in the same period show Roseana Sarney leading overall but a fragmented contest for the runner-up spot. This dynamic sustains tight trader pricing because small shifts in voter preferences, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could reorder the ranking without a dominant frontrunner emerging. Further polling releases or campaign momentum through September represent the clearest catalysts for separation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$412
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

77%
icon for Veneziano remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba en 2026 ?

Veneziano remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Paraíba en 2026 ?

48%
Oui
icon for Janaina Riva obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

Janaina Riva obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Mato Grosso ?

41%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection sénatoriale de Maranhão : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Raimundo Moreira » à 45%, suivi de « Wilson Leite » à 26%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection sénatoriale de Maranhão : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection sénatoriale de Maranhão : 2e place », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection sénatoriale de Maranhão : 2e place » est « Raimundo Moreira » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Wilson Leite » à 26%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection sénatoriale de Maranhão : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.