Trader sentiment centers on 27–28°C minimums for Shanghai on August 3 because these align closely with early-August climatology in the city’s subtropical monsoon regime, where average overnight lows range 25–27°C amid persistent warm, humid air masses. Short-term model consensus shows no significant cool-air intrusions or typhoon steering patterns expected to drop temperatures below this band over the next 48 hours, while daytime highs near 32–34°C sustain elevated minima through limited nocturnal cooling. Recent observational data from regional networks confirm stable conditions without notable deviations from seasonal baselines, supporting the market-implied 51% probability on 28°C and 26% on 27°C as the most likely resolution thresholds ahead of final forecast updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 3 août ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 3 août ?
28°C 50%
27°C 29%
26°C 12%
29°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
22°C ou moins
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
12%
27°C
29%
28°C
50%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou plus
1%
28°C 50%
27°C 29%
26°C 12%
29°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$32 Vol.
1%
23°C
$23 Vol.
3%
24°C
$22 Vol.
2%
25°C
$16 Vol.
6%
26°C
$10 Vol.
12%
27°C
$72 Vol.
29%
28°C
$45 Vol.
50%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$21 Vol.
1%
31°C
$30 Vol.
1%
32°C ou plus
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on 27–28°C minimums for Shanghai on August 3 because these align closely with early-August climatology in the city’s subtropical monsoon regime, where average overnight lows range 25–27°C amid persistent warm, humid air masses. Short-term model consensus shows no significant cool-air intrusions or typhoon steering patterns expected to drop temperatures below this band over the next 48 hours, while daytime highs near 32–34°C sustain elevated minima through limited nocturnal cooling. Recent observational data from regional networks confirm stable conditions without notable deviations from seasonal baselines, supporting the market-implied 51% probability on 28°C and 26% on 27°C as the most likely resolution thresholds ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$304Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on 27–28°C minimums for Shanghai on August 3 because these align closely with early-August climatology in the city’s subtropical monsoon regime, where average overnight lows range 25–27°C amid persistent warm, humid air masses. Short-term model consensus shows no significant cool-air intrusions or typhoon steering patterns expected to drop temperatures below this band over the next 48 hours, while daytime highs near 32–34°C sustain elevated minima through limited nocturnal cooling. Recent observational data from regional networks confirm stable conditions without notable deviations from seasonal baselines, supporting the market-implied 51% probability on 28°C and 26% on 27°C as the most likely resolution thresholds ahead of final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$304Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on 27–28°C minimums for Shanghai on August 3 because these align closely with early-August climatology in the city’s subtropical monsoon regime, where average overnight lows range 25–27°C amid persistent warm, humid air masses. Short-term model consensus shows no significant cool-air intrusions or typhoon steering patterns expected to drop temperatures below this band over the next 48 hours, while daytime highs near 32–34°C sustain elevated minima through limited nocturnal cooling. Recent observational data from regional networks confirm stable conditions without notable deviations from seasonal baselines, supporting the market-implied 51% probability on 28°C and 26% on 27°C as the most likely resolution thresholds ahead of final forecast updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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