Current short-range ensemble forecasts place the Paris minimum on September 1 around the climatological average of 13.2 °C, with model spreads commonly showing 12–15 °C depending on the nocturnal boundary layer. Clear skies and light winds promote stronger radiative cooling of the surface and near-ground air mass, favoring the lower end near 12–13 °C, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow would limit cooling and support 14–15 °C. Recent model runs reflect a transitional pattern after late-August warmth, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between those two leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 1er septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 1er septembre ?
13°C 37%
14°C 32%
12°C 15%
15°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
4%
10°C
10%
11°C
8%
12°C
15%
13°C
37%
14°C
32%
15°C
14%
16°C
11%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C ou plus
2%
13°C 37%
14°C 32%
12°C 15%
15°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
10°C
$41 Vol.
10%
11°C
$58 Vol.
8%
12°C
$0 Vol.
15%
13°C
$121 Vol.
37%
14°C
$126 Vol.
32%
15°C
$0 Vol.
14%
16°C
$0 Vol.
11%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$10 Vol.
8%
19°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts place the Paris minimum on September 1 around the climatological average of 13.2 °C, with model spreads commonly showing 12–15 °C depending on the nocturnal boundary layer. Clear skies and light winds promote stronger radiative cooling of the surface and near-ground air mass, favoring the lower end near 12–13 °C, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow would limit cooling and support 14–15 °C. Recent model runs reflect a transitional pattern after late-August warmth, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between those two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$367Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts place the Paris minimum on September 1 around the climatological average of 13.2 °C, with model spreads commonly showing 12–15 °C depending on the nocturnal boundary layer. Clear skies and light winds promote stronger radiative cooling of the surface and near-ground air mass, favoring the lower end near 12–13 °C, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow would limit cooling and support 14–15 °C. Recent model runs reflect a transitional pattern after late-August warmth, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between those two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$367Date de fin
1 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts place the Paris minimum on September 1 around the climatological average of 13.2 °C, with model spreads commonly showing 12–15 °C depending on the nocturnal boundary layer. Clear skies and light winds promote stronger radiative cooling of the surface and near-ground air mass, favoring the lower end near 12–13 °C, while increased cloud cover or a modest southerly flow would limit cooling and support 14–15 °C. Recent model runs reflect a transitional pattern after late-August warmth, keeping probabilities tightly clustered between those two leading outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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