Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France-aligned runs and Yr.no points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, with the lowest temperatures bottoming near 17 °C around dawn on 31 August. This aligns with the market’s dominant 17 °C outcome (66.5 % implied probability) and nearby 16 °C (18.5 %) and 18 °C (12 %) shares, as ensemble spreads show limited deviation from that narrow range. A recent cooldown after mid-month warmth, sustained Atlantic moisture, and only modest high-pressure building have kept dew points elevated and suppressed stronger nocturnal drops, while historical August minima average ~13 °C yet recent years trend milder. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the key catalyst for any final market adjustment before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 31 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 31 août ?
17°C 68%
16°C 19%
18°C 12%
15°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
12°C ou moins
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C
19%
17°C
68%
18°C
12%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C ou plus
<1%
17°C 68%
16°C 19%
18°C 12%
15°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 août 2026
12°C ou moins
$52 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$65 Vol.
1%
14°C
$57 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
5%
16°C
$237 Vol.
19%
17°C
$1,010 Vol.
68%
18°C
$231 Vol.
12%
19°C
$0 Vol.
3%
20°C
$5 Vol.
4%
21°C
$65 Vol.
1%
22°C ou plus
$52 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France-aligned runs and Yr.no points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, with the lowest temperatures bottoming near 17 °C around dawn on 31 August. This aligns with the market’s dominant 17 °C outcome (66.5 % implied probability) and nearby 16 °C (18.5 %) and 18 °C (12 %) shares, as ensemble spreads show limited deviation from that narrow range. A recent cooldown after mid-month warmth, sustained Atlantic moisture, and only modest high-pressure building have kept dew points elevated and suppressed stronger nocturnal drops, while historical August minima average ~13 °C yet recent years trend milder. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the key catalyst for any final market adjustment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,774Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France-aligned runs and Yr.no points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, with the lowest temperatures bottoming near 17 °C around dawn on 31 August. This aligns with the market’s dominant 17 °C outcome (66.5 % implied probability) and nearby 16 °C (18.5 %) and 18 °C (12 %) shares, as ensemble spreads show limited deviation from that narrow range. A recent cooldown after mid-month warmth, sustained Atlantic moisture, and only modest high-pressure building have kept dew points elevated and suppressed stronger nocturnal drops, while historical August minima average ~13 °C yet recent years trend milder. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the key catalyst for any final market adjustment before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,774Date de fin
31 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like Météo-France-aligned runs and Yr.no points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, with the lowest temperatures bottoming near 17 °C around dawn on 31 August. This aligns with the market’s dominant 17 °C outcome (66.5 % implied probability) and nearby 16 °C (18.5 %) and 18 °C (12 %) shares, as ensemble spreads show limited deviation from that narrow range. A recent cooldown after mid-month warmth, sustained Atlantic moisture, and only modest high-pressure building have kept dew points elevated and suppressed stronger nocturnal drops, while historical August minima average ~13 °C yet recent years trend milder. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will be the key catalyst for any final market adjustment before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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