Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources consistently project overnight lows in Paris around 17–18°C on August 30, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 13.4°C and aligns with observed morning readings near 18°C under mostly cloudy conditions. Model consensus shows little variability in steering patterns or air mass, supporting the market-implied 97.5% probability for a 17°C low. A realistic shift could occur only if skies clear rapidly overnight, allowing greater heat loss, or if a colder air mass advects in earlier than anticipated, though current guidance shows no such developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 30 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 30 août ?
17°C 99.4%
16°C 3%
12°C ou moins <1%
13°C <1%
$7,548 Vol.
$7,548 Vol.
30 août 2026
12°C ou moins
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
99%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou plus
<1%
17°C 99.4%
16°C 3%
12°C ou moins <1%
13°C <1%
$7,548 Vol.
$7,548 Vol.
30 août 2026
12°C ou moins
$358 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$405 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,212 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,988 Vol.
99%
18°C
$1,758 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$785 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$158 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou plus
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources consistently project overnight lows in Paris around 17–18°C on August 30, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 13.4°C and aligns with observed morning readings near 18°C under mostly cloudy conditions. Model consensus shows little variability in steering patterns or air mass, supporting the market-implied 97.5% probability for a 17°C low. A realistic shift could occur only if skies clear rapidly overnight, allowing greater heat loss, or if a colder air mass advects in earlier than anticipated, though current guidance shows no such developments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$7,548Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources consistently project overnight lows in Paris around 17–18°C on August 30, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 13.4°C and aligns with observed morning readings near 18°C under mostly cloudy conditions. Model consensus shows little variability in steering patterns or air mass, supporting the market-implied 97.5% probability for a 17°C low. A realistic shift could occur only if skies clear rapidly overnight, allowing greater heat loss, or if a colder air mass advects in earlier than anticipated, though current guidance shows no such developments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,548Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources consistently project overnight lows in Paris around 17–18°C on August 30, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover and mild southwesterly flow that limits radiative cooling. This places the expected minimum well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 13.4°C and aligns with observed morning readings near 18°C under mostly cloudy conditions. Model consensus shows little variability in steering patterns or air mass, supporting the market-implied 97.5% probability for a 17°C low. A realistic shift could occur only if skies clear rapidly overnight, allowing greater heat loss, or if a colder air mass advects in earlier than anticipated, though current guidance shows no such developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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