Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and European models indicate a minimum temperature near or below 16°C overnight into August 1, driven by clearer skies and reduced cloud cover allowing greater radiational cooling after a period of above-normal daytime heat. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for Paris (average lows 14–15°C) while reflecting current steering patterns that limit warm advection. Traders assign 71.5% implied probability to 16°C or below because ensemble guidance shows limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or residual moisture, with only modest warming expected if winds remain light. Updated model cycles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 1er août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 1er août ?
17°C 91%
16°C ou moins 7%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 août 2026
16°C ou moins
7%
17°C
91%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou plus
<1%
17°C 91%
16°C ou moins 7%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 août 2026
16°C ou moins
$1,620 Vol.
7%
17°C
$1,592 Vol.
91%
18°C
$877 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$459 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$434 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$345 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$833 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$339 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou plus
$332 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and European models indicate a minimum temperature near or below 16°C overnight into August 1, driven by clearer skies and reduced cloud cover allowing greater radiational cooling after a period of above-normal daytime heat. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for Paris (average lows 14–15°C) while reflecting current steering patterns that limit warm advection. Traders assign 71.5% implied probability to 16°C or below because ensemble guidance shows limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or residual moisture, with only modest warming expected if winds remain light. Updated model cycles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$7,405Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and European models indicate a minimum temperature near or below 16°C overnight into August 1, driven by clearer skies and reduced cloud cover allowing greater radiational cooling after a period of above-normal daytime heat. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for Paris (average lows 14–15°C) while reflecting current steering patterns that limit warm advection. Traders assign 71.5% implied probability to 16°C or below because ensemble guidance shows limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or residual moisture, with only modest warming expected if winds remain light. Updated model cycles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,405Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from Météo-France and European models indicate a minimum temperature near or below 16°C overnight into August 1, driven by clearer skies and reduced cloud cover allowing greater radiational cooling after a period of above-normal daytime heat. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for Paris (average lows 14–15°C) while reflecting current steering patterns that limit warm advection. Traders assign 71.5% implied probability to 16°C or below because ensemble guidance shows limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or residual moisture, with only modest warming expected if winds remain light. Updated model cycles over the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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