Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs indicate a minimum temperature near 74–75°F for New York City on August 12, driven by a warm, humid air mass with elevated dew points near 70°F, light winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup aligns with broader late-summer conditions featuring above-average overnight lows across the Northeast, where urban heat island effects in Manhattan further suppress temperature drops. Recent forecast updates have reinforced this range as the most probable outcome, with secondary support for 72–73°F if clearer skies develop overnight. Traders are weighting these NWS and ensemble products heavily given their resolution criteria based on official Central Park observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 12 août ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 12 août ?
74-75°F 50%
72-73°F 36%
70-71°F 6%
76-77°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
63°F ou moins
<1%
64-65 °F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
50%
76-77°F
5%
78-79 °F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F ou plus
<1%
74-75°F 50%
72-73°F 36%
70-71°F 6%
76-77°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
63°F ou moins
$455 Vol.
<1%
64-65 °F
$55 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$561 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$310 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$687 Vol.
6%
72-73°F
$646 Vol.
36%
74-75°F
$1,159 Vol.
50%
76-77°F
$88 Vol.
5%
78-79 °F
$1,694 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$2,118 Vol.
<1%
82°F ou plus
$678 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs indicate a minimum temperature near 74–75°F for New York City on August 12, driven by a warm, humid air mass with elevated dew points near 70°F, light winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup aligns with broader late-summer conditions featuring above-average overnight lows across the Northeast, where urban heat island effects in Manhattan further suppress temperature drops. Recent forecast updates have reinforced this range as the most probable outcome, with secondary support for 72–73°F if clearer skies develop overnight. Traders are weighting these NWS and ensemble products heavily given their resolution criteria based on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$8,451Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs indicate a minimum temperature near 74–75°F for New York City on August 12, driven by a warm, humid air mass with elevated dew points near 70°F, light winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup aligns with broader late-summer conditions featuring above-average overnight lows across the Northeast, where urban heat island effects in Manhattan further suppress temperature drops. Recent forecast updates have reinforced this range as the most probable outcome, with secondary support for 72–73°F if clearer skies develop overnight. Traders are weighting these NWS and ensemble products heavily given their resolution criteria based on official Central Park observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,451Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs indicate a minimum temperature near 74–75°F for New York City on August 12, driven by a warm, humid air mass with elevated dew points near 70°F, light winds, and persistent cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup aligns with broader late-summer conditions featuring above-average overnight lows across the Northeast, where urban heat island effects in Manhattan further suppress temperature drops. Recent forecast updates have reinforced this range as the most probable outcome, with secondary support for 72–73°F if clearer skies develop overnight. Traders are weighting these NWS and ensemble products heavily given their resolution criteria based on official Central Park observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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