Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a daily maximum near 34°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 12 under lingering high-pressure dominance, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns of easterly flow and urban heat retention, though the ongoing regional heatwave has shown slight moderation after early-August peaks exceeding 37–40°C in parts of the peninsula. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C (combined ~66% implied probability) likely reflects model spread, potential boundary-layer cooling from increased cloud cover, or slight downward revisions in ensemble guidance. Upcoming KMA updates and refined numerical weather prediction runs will be key near-term catalysts, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 12 août ?
32°C 31%
33°C 28%
31°C 14%
34°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
27°C ou moins
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
14%
32°C
31%
33°C
28%
34°C
10%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 31%
33°C 28%
31°C 14%
34°C 10%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
27°C ou moins
$117 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$35 Vol.
2%
30°C
$136 Vol.
6%
31°C
$375 Vol.
14%
32°C
$760 Vol.
31%
33°C
$549 Vol.
28%
34°C
$110 Vol.
10%
35°C
$149 Vol.
4%
36°C
$254 Vol.
2%
37°C ou plus
$1,271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a daily maximum near 34°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 12 under lingering high-pressure dominance, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns of easterly flow and urban heat retention, though the ongoing regional heatwave has shown slight moderation after early-August peaks exceeding 37–40°C in parts of the peninsula. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C (combined ~66% implied probability) likely reflects model spread, potential boundary-layer cooling from increased cloud cover, or slight downward revisions in ensemble guidance. Upcoming KMA updates and refined numerical weather prediction runs will be key near-term catalysts, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,080Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a daily maximum near 34°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 12 under lingering high-pressure dominance, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns of easterly flow and urban heat retention, though the ongoing regional heatwave has shown slight moderation after early-August peaks exceeding 37–40°C in parts of the peninsula. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C (combined ~66% implied probability) likely reflects model spread, potential boundary-layer cooling from increased cloud cover, or slight downward revisions in ensemble guidance. Upcoming KMA updates and refined numerical weather prediction runs will be key near-term catalysts, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,080Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a daily maximum near 34°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 12 under lingering high-pressure dominance, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with typical late-summer patterns of easterly flow and urban heat retention, though the ongoing regional heatwave has shown slight moderation after early-August peaks exceeding 37–40°C in parts of the peninsula. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C (combined ~66% implied probability) likely reflects model spread, potential boundary-layer cooling from increased cloud cover, or slight downward revisions in ensemble guidance. Upcoming KMA updates and refined numerical weather prediction runs will be key near-term catalysts, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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