Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over southern England, sustained by high pressure and southerly flow, supporting minimum temperatures in London near 21–23 °C on 14 August. Clear skies promote nocturnal radiative cooling, yet light winds limit mixing and keep lows from falling sharply, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could trim the minimum by 1–2 °C. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values and underscoring the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in boundary-layer conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 14 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 14 août ?
22°C 32%
23°C 26%
21°C 25%
20°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
16°C ou moins
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
11%
21°C
25%
22°C
32%
23°C
26%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C ou plus
1%
22°C 32%
23°C 26%
21°C 25%
20°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
16°C ou moins
$32 Vol.
1%
17°C
$18 Vol.
1%
18°C
$18 Vol.
2%
19°C
$20 Vol.
5%
20°C
$199 Vol.
11%
21°C
$97 Vol.
25%
22°C
$490 Vol.
32%
23°C
$114 Vol.
26%
24°C
$39 Vol.
8%
25°C
$59 Vol.
1%
26°C ou plus
$59 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over southern England, sustained by high pressure and southerly flow, supporting minimum temperatures in London near 21–23 °C on 14 August. Clear skies promote nocturnal radiative cooling, yet light winds limit mixing and keep lows from falling sharply, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could trim the minimum by 1–2 °C. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values and underscoring the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,144Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over southern England, sustained by high pressure and southerly flow, supporting minimum temperatures in London near 21–23 °C on 14 August. Clear skies promote nocturnal radiative cooling, yet light winds limit mixing and keep lows from falling sharply, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could trim the minimum by 1–2 °C. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values and underscoring the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,144Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a warm air mass over southern England, sustained by high pressure and southerly flow, supporting minimum temperatures in London near 21–23 °C on 14 August. Clear skies promote nocturnal radiative cooling, yet light winds limit mixing and keep lows from falling sharply, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight wind shift could trim the minimum by 1–2 °C. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values and underscoring the sensitivity of overnight lows to small changes in boundary-layer conditions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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