Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and Spain’s AEMET indicate Madrid highs near 38–39°C on August 12, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This aligns with the ongoing summer pattern of above-average temperatures following multiple 2026 heatwaves that delivered repeated 38–43°C readings across central Spain. Model consensus points to stable high-pressure dominance and warm air advection from the south, keeping extremes near historical August maxima rather than record territory. Updated short-range guidance through the weekend will determine whether readings edge toward 39°C or settle at 38°C, driving the current market concentration on these two outcomes while assigning low probability to 40°C or higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Madrid le 12 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Madrid le 12 août ?
39°C 59%
38°C 39%
40°C 4%
41°C 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
39%
39°C
59%
40°C
4%
41°C
2%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
39°C 59%
38°C 39%
40°C 4%
41°C 2%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
12 août 2026
33°C or below
$177 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$145 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$181 Vol.
2%
37°C
$222 Vol.
2%
38°C
$431 Vol.
39%
39°C
$437 Vol.
59%
40°C
$237 Vol.
4%
41°C
$156 Vol.
2%
42°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and Spain’s AEMET indicate Madrid highs near 38–39°C on August 12, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This aligns with the ongoing summer pattern of above-average temperatures following multiple 2026 heatwaves that delivered repeated 38–43°C readings across central Spain. Model consensus points to stable high-pressure dominance and warm air advection from the south, keeping extremes near historical August maxima rather than record territory. Updated short-range guidance through the weekend will determine whether readings edge toward 39°C or settle at 38°C, driving the current market concentration on these two outcomes while assigning low probability to 40°C or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$2,499Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and Spain’s AEMET indicate Madrid highs near 38–39°C on August 12, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This aligns with the ongoing summer pattern of above-average temperatures following multiple 2026 heatwaves that delivered repeated 38–43°C readings across central Spain. Model consensus points to stable high-pressure dominance and warm air advection from the south, keeping extremes near historical August maxima rather than record territory. Updated short-range guidance through the weekend will determine whether readings edge toward 39°C or settle at 38°C, driving the current market concentration on these two outcomes while assigning low probability to 40°C or higher.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,499Date de fin
12 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including timeanddate.com and Spain’s AEMET indicate Madrid highs near 38–39°C on August 12, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This aligns with the ongoing summer pattern of above-average temperatures following multiple 2026 heatwaves that delivered repeated 38–43°C readings across central Spain. Model consensus points to stable high-pressure dominance and warm air advection from the south, keeping extremes near historical August maxima rather than record territory. Updated short-range guidance through the weekend will determine whether readings edge toward 39°C or settle at 38°C, driving the current market concentration on these two outcomes while assigning low probability to 40°C or higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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