Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on August 14 point to typical subtropical summer conditions with overnight lows shaped by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international guidance indicates minimum temperatures clustering near 26–28°C, consistent with August climatology of average lows around 27°C amid a broader normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small differences in timing of cloud breaks, southwest monsoon flow strength, or localized rainfall can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C through altered dew points and heat retention. No major tropical systems are currently positioned to disrupt this pattern before the period, keeping outcomes tightly bunched around historical baselines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 14 août ?
La température la plus basse à Hong Kong le 14 août ?
27°C 30%
26°C 22%
25°C 18%
28°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
22°C ou moins
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
18%
26°C
22%
27°C
30%
28°C
17%
29°C
14%
30°C
11%
31°C
1%
32°C ou plus
1%
27°C 30%
26°C 22%
25°C 18%
28°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$34 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$26 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$5 Vol.
17%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$8 Vol.
11%
31°C
$28 Vol.
1%
32°C ou plus
$231 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on August 14 point to typical subtropical summer conditions with overnight lows shaped by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international guidance indicates minimum temperatures clustering near 26–28°C, consistent with August climatology of average lows around 27°C amid a broader normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small differences in timing of cloud breaks, southwest monsoon flow strength, or localized rainfall can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C through altered dew points and heat retention. No major tropical systems are currently positioned to disrupt this pattern before the period, keeping outcomes tightly bunched around historical baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$332Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on August 14 point to typical subtropical summer conditions with overnight lows shaped by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international guidance indicates minimum temperatures clustering near 26–28°C, consistent with August climatology of average lows around 27°C amid a broader normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small differences in timing of cloud breaks, southwest monsoon flow strength, or localized rainfall can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C through altered dew points and heat retention. No major tropical systems are currently positioned to disrupt this pattern before the period, keeping outcomes tightly bunched around historical baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$332Date de fin
14 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on August 14 point to typical subtropical summer conditions with overnight lows shaped by persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Model consensus from sources like the Hong Kong Observatory and international guidance indicates minimum temperatures clustering near 26–28°C, consistent with August climatology of average lows around 27°C amid a broader normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Trader sentiment remains closely split because small differences in timing of cloud breaks, southwest monsoon flow strength, or localized rainfall can shift the daily minimum by 1–2°C through altered dew points and heat retention. No major tropical systems are currently positioned to disrupt this pattern before the period, keeping outcomes tightly bunched around historical baselines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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