Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms for early August across southern England, positioning 16°C as the most probable overnight minimum in London on August 2. Typical early-August lows average near 14°C, but current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support a modest upward shift, with 15–17°C capturing the bulk of forecast spread. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from high-resolution guidance against historical variability, where brief clear spells can produce slightly cooler readings while mild advection prevents sharper drops. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 2 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 2 août ?
15°C 46%
16°C 41%
17°C 14%
14°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
11°C ou moins
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
42%
16°C
41%
17°C
14%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 46%
16°C 41%
17°C 14%
14°C 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 août 2026
11°C ou moins
$194 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$351 Vol.
1%
14°C
$355 Vol.
5%
15°C
$650 Vol.
42%
16°C
$2,773 Vol.
41%
17°C
$1,287 Vol.
14%
18°C
$209 Vol.
3%
19°C
$146 Vol.
1%
20°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou plus
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms for early August across southern England, positioning 16°C as the most probable overnight minimum in London on August 2. Typical early-August lows average near 14°C, but current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support a modest upward shift, with 15–17°C capturing the bulk of forecast spread. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from high-resolution guidance against historical variability, where brief clear spells can produce slightly cooler readings while mild advection prevents sharper drops. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,976Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms for early August across southern England, positioning 16°C as the most probable overnight minimum in London on August 2. Typical early-August lows average near 14°C, but current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support a modest upward shift, with 15–17°C capturing the bulk of forecast spread. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from high-resolution guidance against historical variability, where brief clear spells can produce slightly cooler readings while mild advection prevents sharper drops. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,976Date de fin
2 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms for early August across southern England, positioning 16°C as the most probable overnight minimum in London on August 2. Typical early-August lows average near 14°C, but current steering patterns and limited cloud cover support a modest upward shift, with 15–17°C capturing the bulk of forecast spread. Traders appear to weigh the consensus from high-resolution guidance against historical variability, where brief clear spells can produce slightly cooler readings while mild advection prevents sharper drops. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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