London's overnight minimum temperatures on August 1 are shaped by typical mid-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, moderated by the urban heat island effect that elevates city-center readings several degrees above surrounding rural areas. Historical Met Office climatology places average August lows near 14–15 °C, yet current model consensus and recent observational trends favor 16–17 °C, reflecting warmer-than-average boundary-layer air and light winds that limit mixing with cooler nocturnal air. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these bins because latest forecast guidance from the Met Office and ensemble runs shows minimal further cooling expected overnight, with only a small tail risk of dipping to 15 °C if clearer skies develop. Resolution hinges on the official recorded minimum at the designated London station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 1er août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 1er août ?
17°C 49%
16°C 33%
15°C 6%
18°C 3.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 août 2026
13°C ou moins
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
6%
16°C
45%
17°C
49%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou plus
<1%
17°C 49%
16°C 33%
15°C 6%
18°C 3.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 août 2026
13°C ou moins
$1,161 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,277 Vol.
6%
16°C
$2,566 Vol.
45%
17°C
$1,220 Vol.
49%
18°C
$876 Vol.
4%
19°C
$296 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
23°C ou plus
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.London's overnight minimum temperatures on August 1 are shaped by typical mid-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, moderated by the urban heat island effect that elevates city-center readings several degrees above surrounding rural areas. Historical Met Office climatology places average August lows near 14–15 °C, yet current model consensus and recent observational trends favor 16–17 °C, reflecting warmer-than-average boundary-layer air and light winds that limit mixing with cooler nocturnal air. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these bins because latest forecast guidance from the Met Office and ensemble runs shows minimal further cooling expected overnight, with only a small tail risk of dipping to 15 °C if clearer skies develop. Resolution hinges on the official recorded minimum at the designated London station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,914Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.London's overnight minimum temperatures on August 1 are shaped by typical mid-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, moderated by the urban heat island effect that elevates city-center readings several degrees above surrounding rural areas. Historical Met Office climatology places average August lows near 14–15 °C, yet current model consensus and recent observational trends favor 16–17 °C, reflecting warmer-than-average boundary-layer air and light winds that limit mixing with cooler nocturnal air. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these bins because latest forecast guidance from the Met Office and ensemble runs shows minimal further cooling expected overnight, with only a small tail risk of dipping to 15 °C if clearer skies develop. Resolution hinges on the official recorded minimum at the designated London station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,914Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...London's overnight minimum temperatures on August 1 are shaped by typical mid-summer radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, moderated by the urban heat island effect that elevates city-center readings several degrees above surrounding rural areas. Historical Met Office climatology places average August lows near 14–15 °C, yet current model consensus and recent observational trends favor 16–17 °C, reflecting warmer-than-average boundary-layer air and light winds that limit mixing with cooler nocturnal air. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these bins because latest forecast guidance from the Met Office and ensemble runs shows minimal further cooling expected overnight, with only a small tail risk of dipping to 15 °C if clearer skies develop. Resolution hinges on the official recorded minimum at the designated London station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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