Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London overnight lows for August 15 clustering near 15–17°C amid a post-heatwave cooling trend driven by northerly flow and clearer skies, yet trader consensus clusters around 19–21°C due to lingering uncertainty in cloud cover and urban heat-island effects. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in wind speed or residual moisture from earlier thunderstorms can raise or suppress minima by 2–3°C. With resolution hinging on the official 09:00–09:00 minimum recorded at Heathrow or St James’s Park, fresh 12z and 18z model updates expected today and tomorrow will likely tighten probabilities ahead of the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Londres le 15 août ?
La température la plus basse à Londres le 15 août ?
20°C 44%
21°C 32%
19°C 20%
18°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
14°C ou moins
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
20%
20°C
44%
21°C
32%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C ou plus
2%
20°C 44%
21°C 32%
19°C 20%
18°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
14°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
1%
15°C
$15 Vol.
4%
16°C
$15 Vol.
7%
17°C
$24 Vol.
3%
18°C
$65 Vol.
10%
19°C
$12 Vol.
20%
20°C
$10 Vol.
44%
21°C
$12 Vol.
32%
22°C
$16 Vol.
5%
23°C
$40 Vol.
9%
24°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London overnight lows for August 15 clustering near 15–17°C amid a post-heatwave cooling trend driven by northerly flow and clearer skies, yet trader consensus clusters around 19–21°C due to lingering uncertainty in cloud cover and urban heat-island effects. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in wind speed or residual moisture from earlier thunderstorms can raise or suppress minima by 2–3°C. With resolution hinging on the official 09:00–09:00 minimum recorded at Heathrow or St James’s Park, fresh 12z and 18z model updates expected today and tomorrow will likely tighten probabilities ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$224Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London overnight lows for August 15 clustering near 15–17°C amid a post-heatwave cooling trend driven by northerly flow and clearer skies, yet trader consensus clusters around 19–21°C due to lingering uncertainty in cloud cover and urban heat-island effects. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in wind speed or residual moisture from earlier thunderstorms can raise or suppress minima by 2–3°C. With resolution hinging on the official 09:00–09:00 minimum recorded at Heathrow or St James’s Park, fresh 12z and 18z model updates expected today and tomorrow will likely tighten probabilities ahead of the event.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$224Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs show London overnight lows for August 15 clustering near 15–17°C amid a post-heatwave cooling trend driven by northerly flow and clearer skies, yet trader consensus clusters around 19–21°C due to lingering uncertainty in cloud cover and urban heat-island effects. Ensemble spreads remain wide because small shifts in wind speed or residual moisture from earlier thunderstorms can raise or suppress minima by 2–3°C. With resolution hinging on the official 09:00–09:00 minimum recorded at Heathrow or St James’s Park, fresh 12z and 18z model updates expected today and tomorrow will likely tighten probabilities ahead of the event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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