Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models show a marked cooldown for Paris on August 15, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, potential thunderstorms, and northerly flow following an intense heatwave. Official guidance points to overnight minimum temperatures near 18–20°C, comfortably supporting the market’s 91% implied probability for 22°C or below. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, providing climatological context for this shift. The dominant outcome could be challenged only by unexpected model errors, such as delayed frontal passage or rapid high-pressure rebuilding that sustains warmer boundary-layer air. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will be key decision points for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 15 août ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 15 août ?
22°C ou moins 91%
23°C 7%
25°C 1.4%
24°C 1.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
22°C ou moins
91%
23°C
7%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou plus
<1%
22°C ou moins 91%
23°C 7%
25°C 1.4%
24°C 1.0%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$65 Vol.
91%
23°C
$91 Vol.
7%
24°C
$147 Vol.
1%
25°C
$44 Vol.
1%
26°C
$23 Vol.
1%
27°C
$23 Vol.
1%
28°C
$23 Vol.
1%
29°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$23 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou plus
$18 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models show a marked cooldown for Paris on August 15, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, potential thunderstorms, and northerly flow following an intense heatwave. Official guidance points to overnight minimum temperatures near 18–20°C, comfortably supporting the market’s 91% implied probability for 22°C or below. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, providing climatological context for this shift. The dominant outcome could be challenged only by unexpected model errors, such as delayed frontal passage or rapid high-pressure rebuilding that sustains warmer boundary-layer air. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will be key decision points for traders.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$618Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models show a marked cooldown for Paris on August 15, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, potential thunderstorms, and northerly flow following an intense heatwave. Official guidance points to overnight minimum temperatures near 18–20°C, comfortably supporting the market’s 91% implied probability for 22°C or below. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, providing climatological context for this shift. The dominant outcome could be challenged only by unexpected model errors, such as delayed frontal passage or rapid high-pressure rebuilding that sustains warmer boundary-layer air. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will be key decision points for traders.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$618Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models show a marked cooldown for Paris on August 15, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, potential thunderstorms, and northerly flow following an intense heatwave. Official guidance points to overnight minimum temperatures near 18–20°C, comfortably supporting the market’s 91% implied probability for 22°C or below. Historical August lows average 15–18°C, providing climatological context for this shift. The dominant outcome could be challenged only by unexpected model errors, such as delayed frontal passage or rapid high-pressure rebuilding that sustains warmer boundary-layer air. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24 hours will be key decision points for traders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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