Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts highlight a fifth summer heatwave peaking on August 13, with high pressure advecting warm continental air under mostly sunny skies to drive London maxima near 34–36°C. Model consensus centers on this range, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and local urban heat-island effects create the tight 35–36°C market split; stronger insolation or reduced wind could push toward 37°C while any Atlantic moisture intrusion would cap readings lower. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of official verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 13 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 13 août ?
36°C 37%
35°C 33%
37°C 17%
34°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
33%
36°C
37%
37°C
17%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 33%
37°C 17%
34°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
13 août 2026
30°C or below
$2,697 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$729 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$158 Vol.
3%
33°C
$455 Vol.
4%
34°C
$302 Vol.
11%
35°C
$1,197 Vol.
33%
36°C
$933 Vol.
37%
37°C
$79 Vol.
17%
38°C
$709 Vol.
3%
39°C
$128 Vol.
2%
40°C or higher
$67 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts highlight a fifth summer heatwave peaking on August 13, with high pressure advecting warm continental air under mostly sunny skies to drive London maxima near 34–36°C. Model consensus centers on this range, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and local urban heat-island effects create the tight 35–36°C market split; stronger insolation or reduced wind could push toward 37°C while any Atlantic moisture intrusion would cap readings lower. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$7,454Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts highlight a fifth summer heatwave peaking on August 13, with high pressure advecting warm continental air under mostly sunny skies to drive London maxima near 34–36°C. Model consensus centers on this range, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and local urban heat-island effects create the tight 35–36°C market split; stronger insolation or reduced wind could push toward 37°C while any Atlantic moisture intrusion would cap readings lower. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,454Date de fin
13 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts highlight a fifth summer heatwave peaking on August 13, with high pressure advecting warm continental air under mostly sunny skies to drive London maxima near 34–36°C. Model consensus centers on this range, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover timing, and local urban heat-island effects create the tight 35–36°C market split; stronger insolation or reduced wind could push toward 37°C while any Atlantic moisture intrusion would cap readings lower. Updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of official verification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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