Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 15 indicate daytime maxima of 26–28°C under sunny intervals and light northerly winds, following an exceptionally warm summer with multiple heat spikes above 35°C. Trader consensus between 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in ensemble model spreads, particularly regarding the timing of any Atlantic frontal approach and urban heat island amplification in central London. Key variables include slight differences in cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and exact peak timing on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant temperature scale. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Londres le 15 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Londres le 15 août ?
26°C 34%
27°C 31%
25°C 13%
28°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
13%
26°C
34%
27°C
31%
28°C
13%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 34%
27°C 31%
25°C 13%
28°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
15 août 2026
20°C or below
$710 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$90 Vol.
1%
24°C
$555 Vol.
6%
25°C
$907 Vol.
13%
26°C
$940 Vol.
34%
27°C
$1,133 Vol.
31%
28°C
$493 Vol.
13%
29°C
$696 Vol.
5%
30°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 15 indicate daytime maxima of 26–28°C under sunny intervals and light northerly winds, following an exceptionally warm summer with multiple heat spikes above 35°C. Trader consensus between 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in ensemble model spreads, particularly regarding the timing of any Atlantic frontal approach and urban heat island amplification in central London. Key variables include slight differences in cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and exact peak timing on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant temperature scale. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,623Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 15 indicate daytime maxima of 26–28°C under sunny intervals and light northerly winds, following an exceptionally warm summer with multiple heat spikes above 35°C. Trader consensus between 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in ensemble model spreads, particularly regarding the timing of any Atlantic frontal approach and urban heat island amplification in central London. Key variables include slight differences in cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and exact peak timing on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant temperature scale. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,623Date de fin
15 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 15 indicate daytime maxima of 26–28°C under sunny intervals and light northerly winds, following an exceptionally warm summer with multiple heat spikes above 35°C. Trader consensus between 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in ensemble model spreads, particularly regarding the timing of any Atlantic frontal approach and urban heat island amplification in central London. Key variables include slight differences in cloud cover, boundary layer mixing, and exact peak timing on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant temperature scale. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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