Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 25 minimum temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty two days out, with nearly even odds on unusually cool (22°C or below) versus extreme (32°C or higher) outcomes amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent monsoon moisture, frequent thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling, while steering patterns from the South China Sea influence whether clearer skies or heavy rain dominate. Official guidance from regional models shows lows clustered near the 25–28°C historical baseline, but divergence in precipitation timing and any tropical disturbance passage could shift results several degrees. Upcoming NMC or CMA updates on steering flow and moisture will likely refine the market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 25 août ?
La température la plus basse à Guangzhou le 25 août ?
32°C ou plus 92%
22°C ou moins 90%
31°C 48%
26°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
22°C ou moins
90%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
2%
31°C
48%
32°C ou plus
92%
32°C ou plus 92%
22°C ou moins 90%
31°C 48%
26°C 27%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
22°C ou moins
$5 Vol.
90%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$5 Vol.
48%
32°C ou plus
$5 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 25 minimum temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty two days out, with nearly even odds on unusually cool (22°C or below) versus extreme (32°C or higher) outcomes amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent monsoon moisture, frequent thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling, while steering patterns from the South China Sea influence whether clearer skies or heavy rain dominate. Official guidance from regional models shows lows clustered near the 25–28°C historical baseline, but divergence in precipitation timing and any tropical disturbance passage could shift results several degrees. Upcoming NMC or CMA updates on steering flow and moisture will likely refine the market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$20Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 25 minimum temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty two days out, with nearly even odds on unusually cool (22°C or below) versus extreme (32°C or higher) outcomes amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent monsoon moisture, frequent thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling, while steering patterns from the South China Sea influence whether clearer skies or heavy rain dominate. Official guidance from regional models shows lows clustered near the 25–28°C historical baseline, but divergence in precipitation timing and any tropical disturbance passage could shift results several degrees. Upcoming NMC or CMA updates on steering flow and moisture will likely refine the market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 25 minimum temperature reflects substantial forecast uncertainty two days out, with nearly even odds on unusually cool (22°C or below) versus extreme (32°C or higher) outcomes amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Persistent monsoon moisture, frequent thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling, while steering patterns from the South China Sea influence whether clearer skies or heavy rain dominate. Official guidance from regional models shows lows clustered near the 25–28°C historical baseline, but divergence in precipitation timing and any tropical disturbance passage could shift results several degrees. Upcoming NMC or CMA updates on steering flow and moisture will likely refine the market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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