**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling minimal, supporting model consensus for a minimum temperature of 25°C in Beijing on August 23.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple global ensembles show lows of 24–25°C amid dew points near 24°C, light variable winds, and 70–90% relative humidity that limit temperature drops after sunset. This aligns with the recent pattern of elevated nighttime readings (23–25°C) driven by a warm, moist air mass. The 94.5% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects high agreement across forecast runs, though a stronger nocturnal clearing or unexpected northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 23°C before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Pékin le 23 août ?
La température la plus basse à Pékin le 23 août ?
25°C 95%
23°C 10%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
2%
25°C
95%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 95%
23°C 10%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
23 août 2026
19°C or below
$137 Vol.
1%
20°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$136 Vol.
1%
22°C
$320 Vol.
1%
23°C
$326 Vol.
10%
24°C
$238 Vol.
2%
25°C
$260 Vol.
95%
26°C
$222 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$147 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling minimal, supporting model consensus for a minimum temperature of 25°C in Beijing on August 23.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple global ensembles show lows of 24–25°C amid dew points near 24°C, light variable winds, and 70–90% relative humidity that limit temperature drops after sunset. This aligns with the recent pattern of elevated nighttime readings (23–25°C) driven by a warm, moist air mass. The 94.5% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects high agreement across forecast runs, though a stronger nocturnal clearing or unexpected northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 23°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,654Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling minimal, supporting model consensus for a minimum temperature of 25°C in Beijing on August 23.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple global ensembles show lows of 24–25°C amid dew points near 24°C, light variable winds, and 70–90% relative humidity that limit temperature drops after sunset. This aligns with the recent pattern of elevated nighttime readings (23–25°C) driven by a warm, moist air mass. The 94.5% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects high agreement across forecast runs, though a stronger nocturnal clearing or unexpected northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 23°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,654Date de fin
23 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and scattered showers are keeping overnight radiative cooling minimal, supporting model consensus for a minimum temperature of 25°C in Beijing on August 23.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and multiple global ensembles show lows of 24–25°C amid dew points near 24°C, light variable winds, and 70–90% relative humidity that limit temperature drops after sunset. This aligns with the recent pattern of elevated nighttime readings (23–25°C) driven by a warm, moist air mass. The 94.5% market-implied probability for 25°C reflects high agreement across forecast runs, though a stronger nocturnal clearing or unexpected northerly flow could allow brief dips toward 23°C before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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