Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s R+11 partisan voting index, his established name recognition and family political legacy in northern rural Illinois, and overwhelming fundraising dominance with millions in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Paul Nolley’s limited resources. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive primary challenges or notable shifts in local conditions. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment, a major late-cycle scandal or health event affecting LaHood, or exceptional Democratic turnout and spending that overcomes the district’s baseline tilt.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-16
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-16
$38,378 Vol.
$38,378 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
94%
Parti démocrate
7%
$38,378 Vol.
$38,378 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$15,407 Vol.
94%
Parti démocrate
$22,971 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s R+11 partisan voting index, his established name recognition and family political legacy in northern rural Illinois, and overwhelming fundraising dominance with millions in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Paul Nolley’s limited resources. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive primary challenges or notable shifts in local conditions. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment, a major late-cycle scandal or health event affecting LaHood, or exceptional Democratic turnout and spending that overcomes the district’s baseline tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$38,378Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s R+11 partisan voting index, his established name recognition and family political legacy in northern rural Illinois, and overwhelming fundraising dominance with millions in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Paul Nolley’s limited resources. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive primary challenges or notable shifts in local conditions. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment, a major late-cycle scandal or health event affecting LaHood, or exceptional Democratic turnout and spending that overcomes the district’s baseline tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,378Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th congressional district race due to the seat’s R+11 partisan voting index, his established name recognition and family political legacy in northern rural Illinois, and overwhelming fundraising dominance with millions in cash on hand compared to Democratic nominee Paul Nolley’s limited resources. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting consistent historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive primary challenges or notable shifts in local conditions. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment, a major late-cycle scandal or health event affecting LaHood, or exceptional Democratic turnout and spending that overcomes the district’s baseline tilt.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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