Recent polling shows the CAQ gaining sharply on the leading PQ while the PLQ loses ground, leaving the two parties closely positioned to finish second in popular vote and seat totals on October 5. Regional support patterns remain central: the PLQ draws concentrated strength among anglophones and allophones in Montreal, while the CAQ maintains broader francophone backing outside the metropolitan area. The ongoing Canada-U.S. trade tensions and voter priorities around the economy and healthcare have contributed to the CAQ's recent momentum in surveys. Tight contests across many ridings and undecided voter shares sustain uncertainty about final placement, with campaign events and further polling likely to influence trader assessments of second-place probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPLQ 44%
CAQ 36%
PQ 18%
QS 2.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
PLQ
44%
CAQ
36%
PQ
18%
QS
2%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 44%
CAQ 36%
PQ 18%
QS 2.4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 oct. 2026
PLQ
$3,040 Vol.
44%
CAQ
$1,752 Vol.
36%
PQ
$1,113 Vol.
18%
QS
$978 Vol.
2%
PCQ
$553 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$829 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the CAQ gaining sharply on the leading PQ while the PLQ loses ground, leaving the two parties closely positioned to finish second in popular vote and seat totals on October 5. Regional support patterns remain central: the PLQ draws concentrated strength among anglophones and allophones in Montreal, while the CAQ maintains broader francophone backing outside the metropolitan area. The ongoing Canada-U.S. trade tensions and voter priorities around the economy and healthcare have contributed to the CAQ's recent momentum in surveys. Tight contests across many ridings and undecided voter shares sustain uncertainty about final placement, with campaign events and further polling likely to influence trader assessments of second-place probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Marché ouvert : Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,265Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the CAQ gaining sharply on the leading PQ while the PLQ loses ground, leaving the two parties closely positioned to finish second in popular vote and seat totals on October 5. Regional support patterns remain central: the PLQ draws concentrated strength among anglophones and allophones in Montreal, while the CAQ maintains broader francophone backing outside the metropolitan area. The ongoing Canada-U.S. trade tensions and voter priorities around the economy and healthcare have contributed to the CAQ's recent momentum in surveys. Tight contests across many ridings and undecided voter shares sustain uncertainty about final placement, with campaign events and further polling likely to influence trader assessments of second-place probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$8,265Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the CAQ gaining sharply on the leading PQ while the PLQ loses ground, leaving the two parties closely positioned to finish second in popular vote and seat totals on October 5. Regional support patterns remain central: the PLQ draws concentrated strength among anglophones and allophones in Montreal, while the CAQ maintains broader francophone backing outside the metropolitan area. The ongoing Canada-U.S. trade tensions and voter priorities around the economy and healthcare have contributed to the CAQ's recent momentum in surveys. Tight contests across many ridings and undecided voter shares sustain uncertainty about final placement, with campaign events and further polling likely to influence trader assessments of second-place probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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