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Politique·Élection Principale

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de la ville de Hsinchu

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de la ville de Hsinchu
Politique·Élection Principale

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de la ville de Hsinchu

Ann Kao 87%

Chuang Ching-cheng 2.9%

Ho Chih-yung 2.8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Ann Kao 87%

Chuang Ching-cheng 2.9%

Ho Chih-yung 2.8%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Ann Kao

Ann Kao

$693 Vol.

87%

icon for Chuang Ching-cheng

Chuang Ching-cheng

$130 Vol.

3%

icon for Ho Chih-yung

Ho Chih-yung

$206 Vol.

3%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Ann Kao holds a dominant position in the Hsinchu City mayoral race ahead of the November 2026 local elections, with trader consensus reflecting her re-election prospects after the Taiwan High Court acquitted her on major corruption charges and restored her to office in late 2025. The Democratic Progressive Party's April 2026 nomination of Chuang Ching-cheng as challenger and the Kuomintang's July decision not to field a candidate—while rallying behind independent figures aligned with opposition coordination—have limited organized opposition. Potential independent or minor-party entrants, including former KMT spokesperson Ho Chih-yung, register lower implied probabilities amid Kao's incumbency advantages in a contest where ballot access, party endorsements, and local voter turnout trends typically shape final margins.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,028
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Ann Kao holds a dominant position in the Hsinchu City mayoral race ahead of the November 2026 local elections, with trader consensus reflecting her re-election prospects after the Taiwan High Court acquitted her on major corruption charges and restored her to office in late 2025. The Democratic Progressive Party's April 2026 nomination of Chuang Ching-cheng as challenger and the Kuomintang's July decision not to field a candidate—while rallying behind independent figures aligned with opposition coordination—have limited organized opposition. Potential independent or minor-party entrants, including former KMT spokesperson Ho Chih-yung, register lower implied probabilities amid Kao's incumbency advantages in a contest where ballot access, party endorsements, and local voter turnout trends typically shape final margins.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,028
Date de fin
28 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 8:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Hsinchu City as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Connexes

icon for Hsu Hsin-ying va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection pour le magistrat du comté de Hsinchu ?

Hsu Hsin-ying va-t-elle gagner la prochaine élection pour le magistrat du comté de Hsinchu ?

85%
Oui
icon for Johnny Chiang va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taichung ?

Johnny Chiang va-t-il gagner la prochaine élection du maire de Taichung ?

87%
Oui
icon for Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

Chiang Wan-an remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Taipei ?

92%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de la ville de Hsinchu » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ann Kao » à 87%, suivi de « Chuang Ching-cheng » à 3%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 87¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de la ville de Hsinchu » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 14, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de la ville de Hsinchu », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de la ville de Hsinchu » est « Ann Kao » à 87%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 87% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Chuang Ching-cheng » à 3%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de la ville de Hsinchu » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.